|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 30, 2023 18:19:36 GMT
Another bunch of Russian vehicles blasted.
The video cuts to claim Javelins did it but hard to tell. At least one of the hits looks like an anti-tank missile though.
Video looks familiar - not sure if that's because it's cut from old footage or Russia just keeps doing the same thing!
EDIT: geolocators suggest it's new Russian losses and also that the thing that looked like a missile was actually a special type of mine.
|
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 30, 2023 18:46:40 GMT
Putin just ordered 150k new mobiks over next 3 months.
These are mostly young lads with no experience or training. Last year the April crop were mostly kept back from the front. The big September wave was supposed to target veterans.
Looks like Putin has used up a huge amount of the "best" sources - volunteers, prisoners with nothing to lose, veterans...
|
|
|
|
Post by hcstokie on Mar 30, 2023 21:15:06 GMT
Another bunch of Russian vehicles blasted. The video cuts to claim Javelins did it but hard to tell. At least one of the hits looks like an anti-tank missile though. Video looks familiar - not sure if that's because it's cut from old footage or Russia just keeps doing the same thing! EDIT: geolocators suggest it's new Russian losses and also that the thing that looked like a missile was actually a special type of mine. That looks very similar terrain to another video I’ve watched around Vulhedar. Obviously this one’s edited to show javelins or other missiles, but the other I’ve seen showed the RAAMS artillery. Scary stuff. They just drop a shell with 8-9 anti tank mines in front of a column, wait for one to hit and panic set in, then drop another at the rear and the escape route is blocked. I’d not want to be in a Russian armoured vehicle anywhere near those things. |
|
|
|
Post by musik on Mar 30, 2023 21:37:46 GMT
Putin just ordered 150k new mobiks over next 3 months. These are mostly young lads with no experience or training. Last year the April crop were mostly kept back from the front. The big September wave was supposed to target veterans. Looks like Putin has used up a huge amount of the "best" sources - volunteers, prisoners with nothing to lose, veterans... He/they will never give up. They will do whatever it takes. |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 30, 2023 22:06:57 GMT
Another bunch of Russian vehicles blasted. The video cuts to claim Javelins did it but hard to tell. At least one of the hits looks like an anti-tank missile though. Video looks familiar - not sure if that's because it's cut from old footage or Russia just keeps doing the same thing! EDIT: geolocators suggest it's new Russian losses and also that the thing that looked like a missile was actually a special type of mine. That looks very similar terrain to another video I’ve watched around Vulhedar. Obviously this one’s edited to show javelins or other missiles, but the other I’ve seen showed the RAAMS artillery. Scary stuff. They just drop a shell with 8-9 anti tank mines in front of a column, wait for one to hit and panic set in, then drop another at the rear and the escape route is blocked. I’d not want to be in a Russian armoured vehicle anywhere near those things. You're right about the similarity! I remember those mine-drop videos too, I think a bunch of Russian soldiers talked about it after and said they got obliterated. The geoconfirmed account says the film above is from Vodyane near Avdiivka. One of the Ukrainian veterans I follow says there was another failed Russian attack near Svatove 1-2 days ago and that they'll release the drone footage in another few days. Fingers crossed for a big load! EDIT: a source says it's possibly a different angle of a failed attack near Vodyane from weeks back. |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 30, 2023 23:25:34 GMT
From July last year. This is where Russia is still attacking, if you find Vodyane SW of Avdiivka on that map, that's next to where the video of exploding russian vehicles was taken in March 2023...
Not exactly rapid progress by Russia.
|
|
|
|
Post by bayernoatcake on Mar 31, 2023 0:18:33 GMT
Desantis with the antisemitic dog whistling
|
|
|
|
Post by Paul Spencer on Mar 31, 2023 10:59:24 GMT
WTAF?
|
|
|
|
Post by wagsastokie on Mar 31, 2023 11:28:45 GMT
In my opinion it’s about time we considered pulling out of the complete shit show It must be costing millions to be a member of what actually is basically a talking shop As either the yanks or China / Russians who veto what they don’t like NATO is sufficient for defence the rests pretty much pointless |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 31, 2023 18:51:28 GMT
Bad news from Bakhmut. Shocking that the big news of the day is taking one city block though... EDIT: suggestion that Russia rotated in new units for another push a few days ago. The army and Wagner both want credit for a win so they might be risking costly & desperate attacks. |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 31, 2023 20:41:46 GMT
A year since Ukraine kicked Russia out of Kyiv and found so many murdered civilians. We shouldn't forget.
I had a taxi driver from Bucha last month. The Russians broke into his house and pointed their guns at his wife and son, said they'd open fire if he didn't give them everything he owned.
|
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Mar 31, 2023 23:22:24 GMT
Snow in Bakhmut now. Melt will make things muddy again for a while too.
|
|
|
|
Post by lawrieleslie on Apr 1, 2023 6:56:05 GMT
What a sick joke the UN is…..
"Russia assumes the presidency of the United Nations Security Council today - a group of countries charged with maintaining international peace, settling disputes and combatting international acts of aggression.
The Kremlin said it plans to exercise all its rights at the council, with Russia set to preside over its meetings for the next month and represent the body to other parts of the UN.
The last time Russia was in charge of the council was in February 2022, when it invaded Ukraine.
White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said: "We urge Russia to conduct itself professionally."
Yeh right. I understand that having the ruskies on the council allows countries to put pressure on the monsters but it hasnt made any difference over the last year.
|
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Apr 1, 2023 16:06:12 GMT
One hell of a turret launch.
|
|
|
|
Post by dirtclod on Apr 1, 2023 21:34:16 GMT
One hell of a turret launch. Great height, nice distance and pleasing fireball. F*ck Russia |
|
|
|
Post by bayernoatcake on Apr 2, 2023 16:46:06 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by bayernoatcake on Apr 2, 2023 16:50:52 GMT
This adds an extra liar of 🤔 to it.
Was it the KGB??
|
|
|
|
Post by bayernoatcake on Apr 2, 2023 20:04:53 GMT
On the face of it, it does seem like it’s more of an internal thing?
|
|
|
|
Post by lordb on Apr 2, 2023 20:55:10 GMT
On the face of it, it does seem like it’s more of an internal thing? Anti Putin forces or just the jackals killing one of their own? |
|
|
|
Post by bayernoatcake on Apr 2, 2023 21:26:41 GMT
On the face of it, it does seem like it’s more of an internal thing? Anti Putin forces or just the jackals killing one of their own? Prigozhin is head of Wagner and he’s pissing off the Russian MOD right royally. |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Apr 2, 2023 23:09:08 GMT
Prigozhin just claimed the Bakhmut admin building. It's bad news.
My impressions from the experts;
Ukraine would prefer to hold everything but has 1+ more defensive lines in the city. Apparently urban defenders usually lose far fewer soldiers than the attackers.
If that's really what's happening now then Russia is playing into Ukraine's hands. It still looks bad right now though.
|
|
|
|
Post by musik on Apr 2, 2023 23:11:48 GMT
Not much on the tv news here today about this.
I find it strange.
|
|
|
|
Post by hcstokie on Apr 3, 2023 10:22:06 GMT
Prigozhin just claimed the Bakhmut admin building. It's bad news. My impressions from the experts; Ukraine would prefer to hold everything but has 1+ more defensive lines in the city. Apparently urban defenders usually lose far fewer soldiers than the attackers. If that's really what's happening now then Russia is playing into Ukraine's hands. It still looks bad right now though. I watched a video earlier and they were showing how Ukraine have been mining and detonating building in Bakhmut. As soon as they withdraw they’ve been watching and as soon as they see Russians enter it they detonate it remotely. They’ve done this in a number of houses but also recently demolished a full high rise flat block recently occupied by Russians. Without trying to sensationalise it, the report had intercepted a message stating that there was so much death there that Russians have given up trying to remove bodies of their fallen soldiers and had instead begun to use them like sign posts / markers. God knows what the conditions must be like there! |
|
|
|
Post by OldStokie on Apr 3, 2023 11:48:42 GMT
Some comical karma in the killing of Tatarsky and badly injuring a room full of his supporters. His apparent killer was an anti-war Russian woman who was in the cafe and the bomb was disguised as a trophy given to him for his 'good' work. She then buggered off and was later arrested. I like it.  OS. |
|
|
|
Post by wannabee on Apr 3, 2023 13:29:31 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Apr 3, 2023 15:23:09 GMT
Not much on the tv news here today about this. I find it strange. Did the news spend a lot of time on your neighbour's election? The results were so close I know American news channels would have covered it wall-to-wall if they knew about Finland... And not much dynamic and news-grabbing in Ukraine recently either. |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Apr 3, 2023 16:11:02 GMT
If oil prices surged on 1 m barrels/day cut, imagine crushing Russia's ~10 mil barrels. I'm worried about breaking the price cap but not about India buying barrels. E.g. If Russia pays $40 to produce a barrel, would we prefer they export 15 million at $40 ($0 profit), 10 million at $60 ($0.2 bn profit) or 5 million at $120 ($0.4 bn profit)? I also think sanctinos will make Russia's costs go up.
On the other hand, Russia is officially spending $70 m/day to prop up the rouble but it's still sliding. I think this is partly Russia's plan because oil is usually paid for in dollars/euros/yuan, but Russia pays for internal things in roubles. A $60 barrel in mid-Jan was ~3.9k roubles, now ~4.8k. I bet they didn't increase salaries on the rigs by 20% in three months, but the government will be looking to take more roubles as tax. |
|
cdf
Academy Starlet
Posts: 242
|
Post by cdf on Apr 3, 2023 16:14:51 GMT
Some comical karma in the killing of Tatarsky and badly injuring a room full of his supporters. His apparent killer was an anti-war Russian woman who was in the cafe and the bomb was disguised as a trophy given to him for his 'good' work. She then buggered off and was later arrested. I like it. OS. I quite fancy her and bombing the cafe made her even more of a turn on for me |
|
|
|
Post by wannabee on Apr 3, 2023 16:55:04 GMT
If oil prices surged on 1 m barrels/day cut, imagine crushing Russia's ~10 mil barrels. I'm worried about breaking the price cap but not about India buying barrels. E.g. If Russia pays $40 to produce a barrel, would we prefer they export 15 million at $40 ($0 profit), 10 million at $60 ($0.2 bn profit) or 5 million at $120 ($0.4 bn profit)? I also think sanctinos will make Russia's costs go up.
On the other hand, Russia is officially spending $70 m/day to prop up the rouble but it's still sliding. I think this is partly Russia's plan because oil is usually paid for in dollars/euros/yuan, but Russia pays for internal things in roubles. A $60 barrel in mid-Jan was ~3.9k roubles, now ~4.8k. I bet they didn't increase salaries on the rigs by 20% in three months, but the government will be looking to take more roubles as tax. Reuters puts the price of Russian Oil Production at between $3/$4 a Barrel and could cope with prices going to $25/$30 a Barrel www.reuters.com/business/energy/why-russian-oil-price-cap-is-easier-said-than-done-2022-06-28/In any case the Oil is sold to Japan was at $68.50 a Barrel and today's spot Market puts Russian Oil at $74+ China and India are paying for Russian Oil in a variety of currencies including Roubles, Yuan, Dirham etc The exchange rate between Rouble and Dollar on 23 February 2022 is exactly the same as today 0.013 but its largely irrelevant as Russia/China/India Trade is largely a hedge and is actually threatening the Dollar m.economictimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/indias-oil-deals-with-russia-dent-decades-old-dollar-dominance/articleshow/98491957.cmsThis Article carried by CNBC who would be considered I think left of centre explains in this Analyst view why sanctions won't work www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/02/03/sanctions-on-russian-crude-oil-have-failed-completely-oil-analyst-says.htmlThe point about India and others is the best outcome is Russia selling no Oil, next best is at a heavily discounted price None of those events seem to be happening to any significant degree as far a I can see |
|
|
|
Post by mtrstudent on Apr 3, 2023 17:21:38 GMT
|
|
