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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 16, 2024 16:52:31 GMT
Reliable russian channel explicitly confirms the A-50 loss after previously saying cryptic stuff.
Says it was russian air defence lol, how the fuck do you shoot down your own AWACS?
Ukrainians claimed they did it before the loss was announced.
A big mystery.
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Post by Northy on Jan 16, 2024 17:00:02 GMT
Reliable russian channel explicitly confirms the A-50 loss after previously saying cryptic stuff. Says it was russian air defence lol, how the fuck do you shoot down your own AWACS? Ukrainians claimed they did it before the loss was announced. A big mystery. You can see a missile slowly coming into hit that vehicle
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 16, 2024 19:35:05 GMT
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 16, 2024 20:49:24 GMT
Amazing footage.
About a month ago, Ukraine disabled three russian vehicles in Stepove village. Then they sent a Bradley in to shred them so Russia can't recover them.
A bit risky, the Bradley could have been hit. Might suggest things about russian reaction times and the sorts of ammunition available to each side.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 17, 2024 17:11:25 GMT
I listened to a podcast recently and it suggested that aid equating to 5% of the USA’s annual DoD budget has resulted in the attrition of approximately 45-55% of Russia’s military strength. I’m convinced this is one of the reasons the support is drip fed, it’s bleeding Russian military but also prolonging sanctions and hitting Russia’s economy. Fwiw I've really thought it through and don't think the US is intentionally drip feeding support to lengthen the pain for russia. That's actually a really effective propaganda argument for Putin. IMO there are three reasons, the biggest is more funding is used by MAGA Republicans to attack Biden, increasing the risk of Trump taking power and then you have a dictator lover and Putin ally in the White House to drag the war out even longer. If Republicans wanted democracy to win or were willing to honour the US' promises then the russians would be getting pushed back right now. I listened to an interview of a retired American general, and he essentially said if they gave Ukraine what they would usually take to a war like this, it may be wrapped up relatively quickly. As an example, he discussed air superiority which is the main reason why Ukraine’s counter attack didn’t see the desired results. America have not lost a single soldier to a plane/helicopter attack since the 50s. Agree but I listened to some smart folks who said it'd probably be too expensive to give Ukraine air superiority but could get what they called a "favourable air situation", the one down from superiority. That would have massively helped. Superiority means acting without "prohibitive interference", but Russia has literally thousands of good mobile SAMs that could be anywhere.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 17, 2024 20:37:55 GMT
Forbes: Ukraine laid a trap for Russia's spy plane. Fits the public info. The theory is: 1. Ukraine hit Crimean radars 2. Russia moved the spy plane closer to cover the radar gap over Crimea 3. Ukraine snuck a patriot (or possibly S-300) right close to the front and sniped the plane. EDIT: Another view. The A-50 had repeatedly flown that route, so maybe Ukraine just watched and waited - maybe they didn't need to lure it closer because Crimean AA was weakened earlier. Another weapon that could have done it is an old, refurbished S-200 "Gammon" missile.
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Post by Northy on Jan 18, 2024 11:35:00 GMT
Saw a video earlier from 1986 of a German leopard 2 tank with a pint of beer on the front of its barrel, going at speed and not spilling a drop, showing how its stabilised and accurate its systems are.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 18, 2024 15:42:25 GMT
Interviews with the brigade with all the Bradleys defending Stepove.
Warning: there are blurred out Russian corpses in the video. If you watch, from all the blurs you can see why I've hardly posted videos recently. One of them showed over a hundred dead russians just lying around.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 18, 2024 15:45:06 GMT
The Ukrainian intel channel says Russia is slowly building up pressure again, and has more reserves.
I think what happened is that they lost so many people in October-November that they had to wait for new meat to be delivered.
But they also want a political victory before Putin's "election" in March. I'm still expecting another huge push before, probably at Avdiivka. Russia is hoping they can use up Ukraine's ammunition stockpile while MAGA is helping too starve out the defenders.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 19, 2024 5:49:02 GMT
Ukrainian soldier guided back to his comrades by a drone. Survived from a horrible situation ❤️
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 19, 2024 19:13:52 GMT
Bad news from Avdiivka today. Russians made it past a trench line in the south and have entered the city from the south for the first time.
The 110th brigade who are defending the south desperately need reinforcements and ammunition.
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Post by Northy on Jan 19, 2024 19:44:10 GMT
Bad news from Avdiivka today. Russians made it past a trench line in the south and have entered the city from the south for the first time. The 110th brigade who are defending the south desperately need reinforcements and ammunition. That's not good news, they have been edging forward on 3 sides for the last 3 months, massive casualties for it though
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Post by musik on Jan 19, 2024 23:33:07 GMT
Will it end?
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 20, 2024 16:06:11 GMT
Time lapse showing the mass graves outside Mariupol.
Russia will do this to more cities unless we send enough aid to Ukraine.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 21, 2024 0:07:28 GMT
Throwing your rifle at a drone is one way to try and take it down I guess?!
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Post by bayernoatcake on Jan 21, 2024 1:14:47 GMT
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 21, 2024 5:01:42 GMT
Reports of explosions in Tula, Smolensk and near St Petersburg, Russia.
The west should really be sending parts for thousands of long range drones per month. It wouldn't be that expensive, and Ukraine should yeet 100+ per day all over russian factories, fuel tanks, airports etc.
It could improve the chance for negotiations provided that the targets were all industrial or military.
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Post by bayernoatcake on Jan 21, 2024 17:33:35 GMT
Reports of explosions in Tula, Smolensk and near St Petersburg, Russia. The west should really be sending parts for thousands of long range drones per month. It wouldn't be that expensive, and Ukraine should yeet 100+ per day all over russian factories, fuel tanks, airports etc. It could improve the chance for negotiations provided that the targets were all industrial or military. And move air defences from the front as they’re needed to protect domestic assets.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 21, 2024 19:32:19 GMT
Reports of explosions in Tula, Smolensk and near St Petersburg, Russia. The west should really be sending parts for thousands of long range drones per month. It wouldn't be that expensive, and Ukraine should yeet 100+ per day all over russian factories, fuel tanks, airports etc. It could improve the chance for negotiations provided that the targets were all industrial or military. And move air defences from the front as they’re needed to protect domestic assets. Ukraine has the same problem and it's a nasty one. If you shoot these things down with a missile, the missile is usually more expensive than the drone. The West absolutely has to work out cheap ways of knocking out drones and how to build millions a year of our own. At least the UK is developing laser weapons for this, the headlines say it's only £10 a shot. Taiwan, the Baltics, Poland etc need to get on this pronto, and you wouldn't blame them for starting nuclear programmes. Trump has recently been talking about how if he gets in power, he'll abandon Taiwan to the Chinese as well as any European countrry invaded by the Russians. Democracies can't trust the US as an ally while MAGA is anywhere near power.
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Post by questionable on Jan 21, 2024 20:12:00 GMT
Bad news from Avdiivka today. Russians made it past a trench line in the south and have entered the city from the south for the first time. The 110th brigade who are defending the south desperately need reinforcements and ammunition. Information on Avdiivka has been updated. The enemy allegedly had some success in the city; he advanced with up to six dozen fighters on the south-eastern outskirts of the city, squeezed through Ukrainian positions in the area of the so-called “Tsarska Ohota” and tried to gain a foothold in several houses in the area of Soborna, Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets. This is the so-called “old Avdiivka”, a neighborhood of the city, an area of mostly one-story houses. But this morning the invaders were kicked out of the “Tsarska Ohota” and Soborna, sources say. Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets are being cleared. The BUAR unit of the 110th Brigade helps push the invaders out of the city from the air.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 21, 2024 20:17:19 GMT
Bad news from Avdiivka today. Russians made it past a trench line in the south and have entered the city from the south for the first time. The 110th brigade who are defending the south desperately need reinforcements and ammunition. Information on Avdiivka has been updated. The enemy allegedly had some success in the city; he advanced with up to six dozen fighters on the south-eastern outskirts of the city, squeezed through Ukrainian positions in the area of the so-called “Tsarska Ohota” and tried to gain a foothold in several houses in the area of Soborna, Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets. This is the so-called “old Avdiivka”, a neighborhood of the city, an area of mostly one-story houses. But this morning the invaders were kicked out of the “Tsarska Ohota” and Soborna, sources say. Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets are being cleared. The BUAR unit of the 110th Brigade helps push the invaders out of the city from the air. Would be great if confirmed 👍 Where'd you get that from? One of the reliable sources I follow says there were "some successes" in that area but won't release info until it's cleared. At the same time another russian column attacked from the south, but it sounds like that was a few miles west.
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Post by questionable on Jan 21, 2024 20:20:01 GMT
Information on Avdiivka has been updated. The enemy allegedly had some success in the city; he advanced with up to six dozen fighters on the south-eastern outskirts of the city, squeezed through Ukrainian positions in the area of the so-called “Tsarska Ohota” and tried to gain a foothold in several houses in the area of Soborna, Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets. This is the so-called “old Avdiivka”, a neighborhood of the city, an area of mostly one-story houses. But this morning the invaders were kicked out of the “Tsarska Ohota” and Soborna, sources say. Chernyshevskoho and Sportyvna streets are being cleared. The BUAR unit of the 110th Brigade helps push the invaders out of the city from the air. Would be great if confirmed 👍 Where'd you get that from? One of the reliable sources I follow says there were "some successes" in that area but won't release info until it's cleared. At the same time another russian column attacked from the south, but it sounds like that was a few miles west. Taken from twitter a few minutes ago mate
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 22, 2024 17:19:46 GMT
Looks like russians shelled part of Ukraine they're occupying. Killed a bunch of civilians at a market and blamed Ukraine.
The Ukrainian drone hits on a russian military factory and the export fuel storages were embarrassing for the Kremlin. Russian news hardly covered it, but spent ages on this attack saying "horrible Ukrainians killed innocent people at the market".
Reasons to believe it was russians killing the innocents: - the only visible shell hole looks like a small mortar hit. Ukrainian forces are too far away for mortars.
- you can hear the shots and explosions on a video someone uploaded. The time gap was so small that the shooting must have come from deep inside russian-controlled territory.
- russians do this shit constantly and then lie about it.
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Post by questionable on Jan 22, 2024 17:32:46 GMT
Looks like russians shelled part of Ukraine they're occupying. Killed a bunch of civilians at a market and blamed Ukraine. The Ukrainian drone hits on a russian military factory and the export fuel storages were embarrassing for the Kremlin. Russian news hardly covered it, but spent ages on this attack saying "horrible Ukrainians killed innocent people at the market". Reasons to believe it was russians killing the innocents: - the only visible shell hole looks like a small mortar hit. Ukrainian forces are too far away for mortars. - you can hear the shots and explosions on a video someone uploaded. The time gap was so small that the shooting must have come from deep inside russian-controlled territory. - russians do this shit constantly and then lie about it. I follow quite a few Ukrainian soldiers/ Bloggers and I have no reason to disbelieve anything they say, come across as really genuine folk. At first the recorded daily Russian losses seemed exaggerated but no reason to doubt the countless videos. A Russian reporter only last week reported that the sky is buzzing with drones wherever he went. Ukraine needs backing and backing fast as Russia won’t stop if they’re not stopped.. There’s 90,000 NATO troops on a 4 year “training exercise” training for the possibility of a war with Russia, no coincidence for me.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 22, 2024 17:47:09 GMT
I follow quite a few Ukrainian soldiers/ Bloggers and I have no reason to disbelieve anything they say, come across as really genuine folk. At first the recorded daily Russian losses seemed exaggerated but no reason to doubt the countless videos. A Russian reporter only last week reported that the sky is buzzing with drones wherever he went. I'm pretty convinced tanks, artillery etc are exaggerated by Ukraine in public comms. Read a bunch of articles on old wars and the same thing happened. Two units would shoot at a tank and then they'd both tell command "we blew up a tank!" so it'd be counted twice. Then a new unit would be rotated in, see the wreck and also report "a tank blew up on some mines", then you've counted it three times. I was shocked when the western intel and other info came out on casualties though. I now believe the Ukrainian numbers on Russian soldiers "liquidated" is actually close to the killed+wounded+captured. EDIT: usually the high command knows the tank numbers are too big so they "correct" them. I bet Ukraine's generals are seeing smaller numbers of russian losses, but it's still 2500+ tanks.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 23, 2024 6:18:26 GMT
Yet another wave of russian terror attacks - here's a missile being shot down over Kyiv.
Remember that the russians said they destroyed Ukraine's air defence systems last year.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 23, 2024 6:24:43 GMT
Russia threw a screaming fit about Black Sea trade and demanded "negotiations" to give them lots of things. Ukraine ignored their tantrum and blew up lots of the russian navy.
Now Ukrainian grain is being exported faster than when there was a deal with Putin.
Ukraine has taught us how to negotiate with russia. People are still telling them to follow the Prigozhin school of negotiations.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 23, 2024 16:39:42 GMT
It's unbelievable that Republicans in the US are trying to make this happen more. So so sad.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jan 24, 2024 3:52:55 GMT
Ukraine is claiming some pretty incredible stories about this man. Story in the link.
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Post by scfcno1fan on Jan 24, 2024 7:59:14 GMT
Tobias Elwood painting a pretty dark picture on things this morning.
There does seem to be an increased rhetoric around a war with Russia.
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