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Post by Mr_DaftBurger on Apr 23, 2024 15:22:13 GMT
But if you swap the shorelines ... Wesport Lake for Plymouth Hoes! 🤔😁 If we go down we're truly cursed, but so are Birmingham apparently!
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 23, 2024 15:31:52 GMT
Not hard to see 2 draws for Birmingham and Wednesday at the weekend. Assuming we lose at Southampton (not a given), it means squeaky bum time on the last day of the season which we could all do without!
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Post by lordb on Apr 23, 2024 15:51:28 GMT
Not hard to see 2 draws for Birmingham and Wednesday at the weekend. Assuming we lose at Southampton (not a given), it means squeaky bum time on the last day of the season which we could all do without! that would mean Huddersfield couldn't catch us & put Blues 3 points behind us if we lost to Southampton & Weds 2 points behind with a game v Norwich at home & Sunderland away respectively which they would have to win & we would then have to lose to Bristol City as well that's 6 results that all have align with both Birmingham & Weds beating sides in the play offs If Huddersfield beat Blues then Blues can't catch us, Huddersfield would be 3 point behind but given their GD they would need to get a draw away at Ipswich on the last day to catch us (& only if we lose both games) Plus there are atm 3 other side in between us & the bottom 4
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Post by Los Alfareros on Apr 23, 2024 15:54:06 GMT
After extensive calculations I can safely say if we go down from this position I will eat my dog.
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Post by PotterLog on Apr 23, 2024 15:55:52 GMT
I reckon we'll put Saints to the sword anyway. They'll get mullered 5-0 by Lester tonight which won't be much use to them, give up on the autos and will wilt under the white heat of a rejuvenated Stoke onslaught on Sat. Another 0-3 to the Potters.
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Post by apb1 on Apr 23, 2024 15:57:00 GMT
So the bookies make us 0.007 chance if it's 150-1 (1 in a 151?). But the actual chance as per Opta is 0.4%? Why would they be more generous than the supercomputer? Whatever that is.
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 23, 2024 15:58:38 GMT
Not hard to see 2 draws for Birmingham and Wednesday at the weekend. Assuming we lose at Southampton (not a given), it means squeaky bum time on the last day of the season which we could all do without! that would mean Huddersfield couldn't catch us & put Blues 3 points behind us if we lost to Southampton & Weds 2 points behind with a game v Norwich at home & Sunderland away respectively which they would have to win & we would then have to lose to Bristol City as well that's 6 results that all have align with both Birmingham & Weds beating sides in the play offs If Huddersfield beat Blues then Blues can't catch us, Huddersfield would be 3 point behind but given their GD they would need to get a draw away at Ipswich on the last day to catch us (& only if we lose both games) Plus there are atm 3 other side in between us & the bottom 4 Not saying all the results would go against us but we could easily be in a situation on that last Saturday where we might need to actually win the game to guarantee survival! - I can easily see a highly stressful Saturday with us at 0-0, unexpected goals going in and people frantically checking phones!
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Post by apb1 on Apr 23, 2024 15:59:47 GMT
Not hard to see 2 draws for Birmingham and Wednesday at the weekend. Assuming we lose at Southampton (not a given), it means squeaky bum time on the last day of the season which we could all do without! that would mean Huddersfield couldn't catch us & put Blues 3 points behind us if we lost to Southampton & Weds 2 points behind with a game v Norwich at home & Sunderland away respectively which they would have to win & we would then have to lose to Bristol City as well that's 6 results that all have align with both Birmingham & Weds beating sides in the play offs If Huddersfield beat Blues then Blues can't catch us, Huddersfield would be 3 point behind but given their GD they would need to get a draw away at Ipswich on the last day to catch us (& only if we lose both games) Plus there are atm 3 other side in between us & the bottom 4 If Huddersfield are 3 behind with one to play a draw won't help them? they'd have to win both and we lose both with a swing of 11 goals in that.
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Post by theonlooker on Apr 23, 2024 16:08:32 GMT
Best case for us this weekend: Saints 0 - Stoke 1 Next best: Huddersfield 1 - Brum 0 or Sheff Wed 0 - West Brom 1 Worst case: QPR 0 - Leeds 1 Saints 4 - Stoke 0 Huddersfield 0 - Brum 2 Sheff Wed 1 - West Brom 0 Millwall 0 - Plymouth 1 Blackburn 2 - Coventry 1 Worst case table: Blackburn -15 52 Plymouth -10 51 QPR -17 50 Stoke -20 50 Sheff Wed -28 50 ----------------- Brum -14 49 Suddenly the 500/1 chance drops to about 6/1 and our percentages increases to about 20%
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Post by lordb on Apr 23, 2024 16:09:11 GMT
that would mean Huddersfield couldn't catch us & put Blues 3 points behind us if we lost to Southampton & Weds 2 points behind with a game v Norwich at home & Sunderland away respectively which they would have to win & we would then have to lose to Bristol City as well that's 6 results that all have align with both Birmingham & Weds beating sides in the play offs If Huddersfield beat Blues then Blues can't catch us, Huddersfield would be 3 point behind but given their GD they would need to get a draw away at Ipswich on the last day to catch us (& only if we lose both games) Plus there are atm 3 other side in between us & the bottom 4 Not saying all the results would go against us but we could easily be in a situation on that last Saturday where we might need to actually win the game to guarantee survival! - I can easily see a highly stressful Saturday with us at 0-0, unexpected goals going in and people frantically checking phones! Would suggests it's anything but 'easily' It's possible but it's a real long shot haven't even mentioned QPR & Blackburn fixtures, take a look, it's quite possible we can lose both games & finish where we are now
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 23, 2024 16:19:35 GMT
Not saying all the results would go against us but we could easily be in a situation on that last Saturday where we might need to actually win the game to guarantee survival! - I can easily see a highly stressful Saturday with us at 0-0, unexpected goals going in and people frantically checking phones! Would suggests it's anything but 'easily' It's possible but it's a real long shot haven't even mentioned QPR & Blackburn fixtures, take a look, it's quite possible we can lose both games & finish where we are now Absolutely, we might not need another point - I just don't think it's that unfeasible to be heading into that last set of games needing something (to be sure) and for it to be a highly nerve racking afternoon.
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Post by J-Roar on Apr 23, 2024 16:24:21 GMT
After extensive calculations I can safely say if we go down from this position I will eat my dog. Hi Bae Jun. Thanks for a great season.
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Post by mickeythemaestro on Apr 23, 2024 16:34:41 GMT
After extensive calculations I can safely say if we go down from this position I will eat my dog. Hi Bae Jun. Thanks for a great season. To be fair that's a good one 😆
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Post by lordb on Apr 23, 2024 16:52:52 GMT
Would suggests it's anything but 'easily' It's possible but it's a real long shot haven't even mentioned QPR & Blackburn fixtures, take a look, it's quite possible we can lose both games & finish where we are now Absolutely, we might not need another point - I just don't think it's that unfeasible to be heading into that last set of games needing something (to be sure) and for it to be a highly nerve racking afternoon. It is because of the fixtures the number of teams involved and the existing table It's highly improbable
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Post by swampmongrel on Apr 23, 2024 17:05:45 GMT
So the bookies make us 0.007 chance if it's 150-1 (1 in a 151?). But the actual chance as per Opta is 0.4%? Why would they be more generous than the supercomputer? Whatever that is. They’re not being more generous. The supercomputer odds imply 250-1. Suppose it’s how Denise has so much money.
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Post by Linx on Apr 23, 2024 18:17:05 GMT
After extensive calculations I can safely say if we go down from this position I will eat my dog. I kind of agree with you, but you might want to check out Korean cuisine just in case.
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Post by flea79 on Apr 23, 2024 18:31:54 GMT
I asked chat gpt too work it out
The useless skynet impersonator couldn’t even tell me the current table without me plugging it all in!
Shit house robot twat
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Post by Goonie on Apr 23, 2024 20:01:04 GMT
Hopefully Bristol City live up to their boring Monica last day Monica. Jesus Hates Christ! Lol damn predictive text ahem... monicker - I really need to read before I post!
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Post by PotterLog on Apr 23, 2024 20:48:37 GMT
I reckon we'll put Saints to the sword anyway. They'll get mullered 5-0 by Lester tonight which won't be much use to them, give up on the autos and will wilt under the white heat of a rejuvenated Stoke onslaught on Sat. Another 0-3 to the Potters. I knew it
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Post by scfcno1fan on Apr 23, 2024 20:49:33 GMT
I reckon we'll put Saints to the sword anyway. They'll get mullered 5-0 by Lester tonight which won't be much use to them, give up on the autos and will wilt under the white heat of a rejuvenated Stoke onslaught on Sat. Another 0-3 to the Potters. I knew it Hope you had a couple of quid on the 5-0, 3-0 double…
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Post by Bera’s Beano on Apr 24, 2024 7:33:22 GMT
I reckon we'll put Saints to the sword anyway. They'll get mullered 5-0 by Lester tonight which won't be much use to them, give up on the autos and will wilt under the white heat of a rejuvenated Stoke onslaught on Sat. Another 0-3 to the Potters. Spooky, nicely predicted, hopefully the second half of your mystic words comes true too. For what its worth, I reckon we'll be safe by 5pm on Saturday even if we lose 5-0 to Southampton ourselves.
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Post by mickeythemaestro on Apr 24, 2024 8:27:12 GMT
I reckon we'll put Saints to the sword anyway. They'll get mullered 5-0 by Lester tonight which won't be much use to them, give up on the autos and will wilt under the white heat of a rejuvenated Stoke onslaught on Sat. Another 0-3 to the Potters. Excellent prediction potterlog 👏 👏 I'm having a little flutter on the 0-3 bit 😉
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Post by Old School Stokie on Apr 24, 2024 11:04:50 GMT
Season 2022-23 -- 44 points relegation - 45 would have been enough to stay up - this year 50 may not be enough to stay up!
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Post by biglad180 on Apr 24, 2024 12:07:35 GMT
as long as birmingham do not win saturday at Huddersfield we will be safe no matter what other results are
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Post by benjaminbiscuit on Apr 24, 2024 12:18:41 GMT
as long as birmingham do not win saturday at Huddersfield we will be safe no matter what other results are Not correct If they draw they can grt 50 on the last day and because we would have lost both games have a better goal difference There are only 3 ways we can avoid last day Drama 1 we win at Southampton 2 Birmingham lose at Huddersfield 3 Sheff Wed lose to wba Any of the three mean we are safe but I'm fully expecting last day panic starting next sat night As draws or beter for Wednesday amd birnmingham guarantee it it we lose at a chastend Southampton We could do with qpr Blackburn and Plymouth losing too but you have to think coventry will ne easy pickings amd worryingly play both Blackburn and qpr In.my view we have the worst last day fixture amd the toughest This weekend not over yet by any means
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 24, 2024 12:19:47 GMT
as long as birmingham do not win saturday at Huddersfield we will be safe no matter what other results are A draw still puts us in the mix assuming we get nothing at Southampton (by no means a given)
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Post by Staffsoatcake on Apr 24, 2024 12:24:49 GMT
I'd Hudds win,Brum can't catch us,our better GD over Hudds is like an extra pt.
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 24, 2024 12:38:17 GMT
as long as birmingham do not win saturday at Huddersfield we will be safe no matter what other results are Not correct If they draw they can grt 50 on the last day and because we would have lost both games have a better goal difference There are only 3 ways we can avoid last day Drama 1 we win at Southampton 2 Birmingham lose at Huddersfield 3 Sheff Wed lose to wba Any of the three mean we are safe but I'm fully expecting last day panic starting next sat night As draws or beter for Wednesday amd birnmingham guarantee it it we lose at a chastend Southampton We could do with qpr Blackburn and Plymouth losing too but you have to think coventry will ne easy pickings amd worryingly play both Blackburn and qpr In.my view we have the worst last day fixture amd the toughest This weekend not over yet by any means We want Coventry winning tonight really - make that Blackburn game a do or die for both sides. If Blackburn lose that, I think they'll be relegated.
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Post by mickstupp on Apr 24, 2024 12:43:52 GMT
as long as birmingham do not win saturday at Huddersfield we will be safe no matter what other results are Not correct If they draw they can grt 50 on the last day and because we would have lost both games have a better goal difference There are only 3 ways we can avoid last day Drama 1 we win at Southampton 2 Birmingham lose at Huddersfield 3 Sheff Wed lose to wba Any of the three mean we are safe but I'm fully expecting last day panic starting next sat night As draws or beter for Wednesday amd birnmingham guarantee it it we lose at a chastend Southampton We could do with qpr Blackburn and Plymouth losing too but you have to think coventry will ne easy pickings amd worryingly play both Blackburn and qpr In.my view we have the worst last day fixture amd the toughest This weekend not over yet by any means Bet365 are still offering 150-1 on Stoke getting relegated, so if you’re worrying put £100 on it and comfort yourself with a nice little £15k payout to sooth the pain.
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Post by poultonpotter on Apr 24, 2024 13:15:20 GMT
If we lose to Southampton, we will not be mathematically safe before the last match of the season regardless of other results.
But I still think we already have enough points
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