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Post by A-teen_six_T3 on Jan 20, 2009 13:16:11 GMT
Watching sky sports news last week following the Kaka saga and breaking news came up and they spoke to the cheif sports reporter, Bryan Swanson...The breaking news was the chances of Kaka join city are 50:50.
Then today prety much the same thing happed "sky sports sources understand that the Arsenal chances of signing Arshen (whatever his name is) are 50:50 making abig deal of this 'exclusive information'
But I was thinking what a load of bollox...
Of course it's 50 he either signs or he doesn't there are two options. You flip a coin you could get heads or tails...the possability og getting heads is 50:50
it just pissed me off a bit - Rant over
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Post by smapples on Jan 20, 2009 13:18:20 GMT
If the coin is weighted you then you could have a 70/30 chance.
I see your point though.
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Post by cr4zyd4ve on Jan 20, 2009 13:19:15 GMT
fair comment owd. it's just lazy journalism. maybe if they backed their statements with some cold hard facts and maybe even show how they come to that conclusion it would be more imformative!
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Post by Done it for scfcbuxton on Jan 20, 2009 13:21:22 GMT
So does that mean we have a 50/50 chance of signing Kaka or Arshavin
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Post by A-teen_six_T3 on Jan 20, 2009 13:22:39 GMT
I suppose so ah  |
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Post by Danstoke82 on Jan 20, 2009 13:26:42 GMT
Damn it when I read the thread title I thought we were buying someone! I'm having severe withdrawal symptons, its been 8 days since any concrete news. (I know they are in Dubai)
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Post by cr4zyd4ve on Jan 20, 2009 13:27:11 GMT
So does that mean we have a 50/50 chance of signing Kaka or Arshavin 70/30 chance if you use one of smapples coins... |
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Post by A-teen_six_T3 on Jan 20, 2009 13:27:41 GMT
I'm the same! 2 very quiet days! 2 days away from uni so plenty of time to be spent around the computer...and nothing!!
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Post by y_oh_y_delilah on Jan 20, 2009 13:35:09 GMT
A 50:50 chance not based on the probability theory, which is -
"the prior probability of A is equal to the prior expected value of the posterior probability of A." That is, for any random variable N, where is the conditional probability of A given N.
So based on that theory of total probability, we were always destined to sign Pericard!
;D
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Post by Strange Boy on Jan 20, 2009 13:37:29 GMT
So does that mean we have a 50/50 chance of signing Kaka or Arshavin 70/30 chance if you use one of smapples coins... ;D lol |
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Post by smapples on Jan 20, 2009 13:41:08 GMT
The coins that dont go into vending machines no matter how many times you put them in. You can try and spin them, put em in slow or fast but they dont work because of me.
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