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Post by mark71 on Dec 27, 2007 15:08:07 GMT
I think it will take about 85 points this season to get automatic promotion, that leaves us another 44 points to get in 22 games.
Those games are equally split 11 at home and 11 away.
13 wins and a few draws should do it.
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Post by sheltonstokie on Dec 27, 2007 15:32:00 GMT
On that basis I feel confident. Mark, If I am not mistaken, your calculation equates to matching the first half of the season plus a couple (say three) extra wins. Surely that is achievable with the signing of Diao & others (hopefully).
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Post by mark71 on Dec 27, 2007 15:36:53 GMT
No one has or I think will run away with the league this year, Everyone is taking points off everyone so we might be looking at the lowest amount of points to gain automatic promotion this season.
85 points is a realistic target for us to gain automatic promotion.
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Post by lordb on Dec 27, 2007 15:37:22 GMT
What if Fuller gets injured/suspended?
calm down everyone.
well done Stoke,well done TP but lets not get too carried away.
not saying we cant do it or that we wont do it but lets keep our heads.
bound to be a bad spell @ some point - the key is (unlike last year) to get out of it asap.Cool heads in the stands will help -.
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Post by markscfc72 on Dec 27, 2007 15:38:57 GMT
correct, i just hope people dont start moaning when we lose a few, we need to stay behind the team til the end now regardless or results, least we know whatever happends they are giving 110%
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Post by stokecityscott on Dec 27, 2007 15:55:04 GMT
75points in the past 4 years gets your 6th spot.
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Post by sheltonstokie on Dec 27, 2007 16:18:09 GMT
Agreed we must not get too carried away, however, there is no harm comparing the first half of the season with what is required in the second (assuming 85 points will get a top two spot). I hate maths (hopeless at it), however, the following is, perhaps, interesting;-
* 1.70 pts ave per game up to now.
* 1.43 pts for the first 16 games (when we were not too happy)
* 2.25 pts for the current unbeaten run.
* 2.00 pts for Mark's projected target for the remaining 22 games
Not sure what the above means, however, if the present team carry on as they have done in the past few weeks we should be home & dry - easy as that!!!
Seriously, I will only get carried away & be very optimistic if, & only if, the squad is strengthened. In my opinion we may, surprisingly, have the squad to be in or around the play off spots but not to maintain a challenge for automatic promotion. Two/three signings, in addition to what we have got, will give us a fantastic opportunity for promotion.
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Post by Marc01 on Dec 27, 2007 16:26:03 GMT
It could be a tight finish....possibly a good omen:
I think I am correct to say that the last 2 times we have got promotion to the top flight no one has run away with the league and it has gone right to the wire.
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Post by mark71 on Dec 27, 2007 16:26:26 GMT
Totally agree Shelton.
All of our players are giving us 110% every game but if you look at the west brom game at half time they brought Philips and Miller on, how could Pulis change things if we were losing 2-0 at the Hawthorns?
3 or 4 good signings in january is a must but there is no one in this league we have to fear.
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