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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 23, 2024 18:25:36 GMT
Now mistakes during rotation of units is being blamed for an awful situation where Ukrainian lines broke. Supposedly the Ukrainian counterattack failed.
It's now a race to see if russia can reinforce and bite off more of Donbas.
Amazing that Ukraine held until now, if the republican blockade had ended just a month earlier this could probably have been stopped.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 24, 2024 16:33:24 GMT
Looks like more successful drone strikes.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 24, 2024 16:36:54 GMT
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 24, 2024 16:49:11 GMT
Each launcher/radar truck usually costs $10 million+, and the missiles they carry can be $1 million each (at least for S-300/400 like this one).
A few $100k GMLRS rockets are a fucking bargain. And now the republicans' pro-Putin blockade is temporarily stopped, more of those rockets are going.
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Post by scfcbiancorossi on Apr 24, 2024 20:32:25 GMT
How the fuck is this war ever going to end? It's absolutely mindless. On balance I think Ukraine still needs our support but there has to be an end in sight and talk of a deal soon, surely. Or is this just going to carry on for years to come?
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Post by lordb on Apr 24, 2024 21:11:46 GMT
How the fuck is this war ever going to end? It's absolutely mindless. On balance I think Ukraine still needs our support but there has to be an end in sight and talk of a deal soon, surely. Or is this just going to carry on for years to come? It doesn't end soon Eventually post Putin Russia goes home
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Post by scfcbiancorossi on Apr 24, 2024 21:18:35 GMT
How the fuck is this war ever going to end? It's absolutely mindless. On balance I think Ukraine still needs our support but there has to be an end in sight and talk of a deal soon, surely. Or is this just going to carry on for years to come? It doesn't end soon Eventually post Putin Russia goes home Do they though? They arent going to walk away from their newly acquired territory, surely?
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Post by lordb on Apr 24, 2024 21:59:51 GMT
It doesn't end soon Eventually post Putin Russia goes home Do they though? They arent going to walk away from their newly acquired territory, surely? Eventually yes as they did in Afghanistan as US did in Vietnam and US and UK did in Afghanistan when fighting a war you can't win eventually you go home
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Post by RichieBarkerOut! on Apr 24, 2024 22:05:19 GMT
Each launcher/radar truck usually costs $10 million+, and the missiles they carry can be $1 million each (at least for S-300/400 like this one). A few $100k GMLRS rockets are a fucking bargain. And now the republicans' pro-Putin blockade is temporarily stopped, more of those rockets are going. Would they really put that gear in such an open position? Looks like a decoy position to me.
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Post by scfcbiancorossi on Apr 24, 2024 22:06:36 GMT
Do they though? They arent going to walk away from their newly acquired territory, surely? Eventually yes as they did in Afghanistan as US did in Vietnam and US and UK did in Afghanistan when fighting a war you can't win eventually you go home But I can't see how they lose those territories. That would take Nato intervention which won't happen. Russia are in total control of large swathes of the Donbass, Crimea etc. I suppose they could stop advancing but I just can't see them letting go of the areas they have now essentially conquered.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 25, 2024 1:51:26 GMT
Eventually yes as they did in Afghanistan as US did in Vietnam and US and UK did in Afghanistan when fighting a war you can't win eventually you go home But I can't see how they lose those territories. That would take Nato intervention which won't happen. Russia are in total control of large swathes of the Donbass, Crimea etc. I suppose they could stop advancing but I just can't see them letting go of the areas they have now essentially conquered. You have to kill, wound or rout russians in an area more quickly than they can be replaced. If US and EU aid levels stay steady then I think that's likely starting next year. Unless something else major changes, like China sending major aid or drone tech shifting enormously.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 25, 2024 1:54:30 GMT
Each launcher/radar truck usually costs $10 million+, and the missiles they carry can be $1 million each (at least for S-300/400 like this one). A few $100k GMLRS rockets are a fucking bargain. And now the republicans' pro-Putin blockade is temporarily stopped, more of those rockets are going. Would they really put that gear in such an open position? Looks like a decoy position to me. It could be but they also don't often seem to put the S-300/400 radar kits in among the trees in the videos I've seen. At least when they're deployed. I wonder whether trees block the radar signal, which kind of ruins the point of long-range air defence like S-300. I've seen shorter-range stuff (Osa, Tor, Pantsir, sometimes even Buk) partly hidden in tree lines but facing out a bit. There are convincing dummies nowadays though, tbf.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 25, 2024 1:57:37 GMT
Apparently these work against drones. New artillery ammo and missiles will help massively.
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Post by scfcbiancorossi on Apr 25, 2024 2:21:38 GMT
But I can't see how they lose those territories. That would take Nato intervention which won't happen. Russia are in total control of large swathes of the Donbass, Crimea etc. I suppose they could stop advancing but I just can't see them letting go of the areas they have now essentially conquered. You have to kill, wound or rout russians in an area more quickly than they can be replaced. If US and EU aid levels stay steady then I think that's likely starting next year. Unless something else major changes, like China sending major aid or drone tech shifting enormously. I just can't see that happening mate unfortunately. I can see this thing going on for a lifetime.
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Post by scfcno1fan on Apr 25, 2024 7:15:00 GMT
But I can't see how they lose those territories. That would take Nato intervention which won't happen. Russia are in total control of large swathes of the Donbass, Crimea etc. I suppose they could stop advancing but I just can't see them letting go of the areas they have now essentially conquered. You have to kill, wound or rout russians in an area more quickly than they can be replaced. If US and EU aid levels stay steady then I think that's likely starting next year. Unless something else major changes, like China sending major aid or drone tech shifting enormously. This is what I seem to be seeing a lot on X. The aid will help Ukraine defend this year but not attack until next year. Russia still have more fire power and this will continue. A long old slug ahead.
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Post by prestwichpotter on Apr 26, 2024 8:20:36 GMT
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Post by adri2008 on Apr 26, 2024 10:55:24 GMT
Attritional warfare was always going to suit Russia purely as they have more men to go into the grinder. Some sort of negotiated settlement is inevitable - I don't see how Ukraine can realistically take any sizeable territory back but nor can I see any massive gains by Russia either without them becoming over extended.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 26, 2024 15:11:15 GMT
It's extremely bad right now, largely thanks to the republicans' six-month pro-Putin blockade.
Ukraine needs more support flooding in and needs to mobilise a lot of new troops starting now.
And it seems likely some more territory will be lost befor things stabilise.
As I've been saying for fucking ages, Putin is gambling hard on this year. He's using up everything from the soviet storages and throwing it in now.
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Post by Miles Offside on Apr 26, 2024 15:56:33 GMT
It's extremely bad right now, largely thanks to the republicans' six-month pro-Putin blockade. Ukraine needs more support flooding in and needs to mobilise a lot of new troops starting now. And it seems likely some more territory will be lost befor things stabilise. As I've been saying for fucking ages, Putin is gambling hard on this year. He's using up everything from the soviet storages and throwing it in now. The Republicans didn't have a six-month pro-Putin blockade, and they haven't suddenly become anti-Putin by passing this Bill. If Biden had listened to their concerns about the US southern border the Bill could've passed months ago.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 26, 2024 23:41:27 GMT
It's extremely bad right now, largely thanks to the republicans' six-month pro-Putin blockade. Ukraine needs more support flooding in and needs to mobilise a lot of new troops starting now. And it seems likely some more territory will be lost befor things stabilise. As I've been saying for fucking ages, Putin is gambling hard on this year. He's using up everything from the soviet storages and throwing it in now. The Republicans didn't have a six-month pro-Putin blockade, and they haven't suddenly become anti-Putin by passing this Bill. If Biden had listened to their concerns about the US southern border the Bill could've passed months ago. I don't know how else to describe it when they knowingly and intentionally did what they could to blockade the democracy to try and help Putin win. I just don't see how the border is relevant to Ukraine aid tbh. *Unless* they support Putin and they see helping Ukraine as a cost they need to be paid for. I think they know it's not popular to openly support genocidal dictatorships, so Putin lovers like most republican House members have to come up with an excuse. "Oh it's about the border", but then they blocked the border bill which shows it's not that either. MAGA is just another flavour of wannabe dictatorship, and they're obviously on Putin's side here.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 27, 2024 19:06:24 GMT
They drive by shot down a drone using a propellor plane.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 29, 2024 15:07:34 GMT
"GRU Unit 29155, Russia’s assassination and sabotage squad, blew up ammunition warehouses in Czechia. It had help from Elena and Nikolai Šapošnikov, a family of deep-cover spies working as arms dealers." Russian spies have been blowing up European ammo storages and factories since 2014 according to the Czech Intelligence Center for Counter-Terrorism and Organized Crime - story.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 29, 2024 15:21:33 GMT
Another Alternative for Deutschland (AfD) member admits being a russian agent.
Russia is attacking us whether we think we're involved or not. They're piling effort into things that help them like MAGA, AfD, etc.
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 29, 2024 15:44:11 GMT
Russia's brutal advantages around Avdiivka since they started their offensive in October.
270 sq km conquered and it's getting worse because of that little sticky outy bit to the northwest where Ukrainian lines collapsed due to some fuckup which we don't properly understand yet.
In that area, russia has lost at least 915 tanks+armoured vehicles versus Ukraine's 103.
Over the whole front, Ukraine's offensive (Jun-Aug 2023) liberated 790 sq km total. So far russia's offensive (October 2023-now) conquered 392 sq km.
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Post by Miles Offside on Apr 29, 2024 16:33:09 GMT
The Republicans didn't have a six-month pro-Putin blockade, and they haven't suddenly become anti-Putin by passing this Bill. If Biden had listened to their concerns about the US southern border the Bill could've passed months ago. I don't know how else to describe it when they knowingly and intentionally did what they could to blockade the democracy to try and help Putin win. I just don't see how the border is relevant to Ukraine aid tbh. *Unless* they support Putin and they see helping Ukraine as a cost they need to be paid for. I think they know it's not popular to openly support genocidal dictatorships, so Putin lovers like most republican House members have to come up with an excuse. "Oh it's about the border", but then they blocked the border bill which shows it's not that either. MAGA is just another flavour of wannabe dictatorship, and they're obviously on Putin's side here. We're on the same side here, but I think you're overcooking it regarding the American Republicans. By far the most aid the Ukrainians have received has been from the US. The Republicans didn't block it, but they could have done. Without US aid Ukraine would be in a very perilous position. Southern States in the US have taken in up to 12 million illegal immigrants. It's become a massive problem and some Republicans have tried to force Biden to deal with the issue by linking it to aid not only to Ukraine, but also to Israel and Taiwan. They weren't supporting Putin by delaying this Bill - just like they weren't supporting Hamas or the Chinese.
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Post by Paul Spencer on Apr 30, 2024 0:19:44 GMT
Thoughts (there are a ton of similar videos out there)?
/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1618362187021701120¤tTweetUser=jamesfoley57
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Post by wagsastokie on Apr 30, 2024 6:36:11 GMT
Thoughts (there are a ton of similar videos out there)? /mediaViewer?currentTweet=1618362187021701120¤tTweetUser=jamesfoley57 Well the quicker we arm Ukraine with all the weapons it needs The sooner there’s no need for these alleged videos
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Post by wannabee on Apr 30, 2024 9:00:43 GMT
I think they know it's not popular to openly support genocidal dictatorships, so Putin lovers like most republican House members have to come up with an excuse. "Oh it's about the border", but then they blocked the border bill which shows it's not that either. MAGA is just another flavour of wannabe dictatorship, and they're obviously on Putin's side here. I object to this remark It's a symptom of the schizophrenic nature of the Republican Party currently. It also appears to be a generational thing with the younger representatives more America First than the older representatives. Not all Pro-Trumpers are Anti-Ukrainers, but all Anti-Ukrainers are Pro-Trumpers. Another factor is that a Politicians first duty is to get re-elected so they must listen to what their base is telling them. The powerful Russian Propaganda Machine has been clever, while this base overwhelmingly dislikes Russia they have positioned Putin to be a defender of Christian Conservatism and ant-LGBTQ Rights portraying Putin himself as the embodiment of masculine strength. This is an appealing cocktail to those who favour Populist Conservatives
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Post by mtrstudent on Apr 30, 2024 14:41:35 GMT
Russia using cluster missiles on Odesa, another civilian target.
They've used cluster munitions on Kharkiv a lot.
While the West fretted for over a year about DPICM shells before finally sending them. Ukraine has only used them on russian military targets, but the delay got loads of Ukrainians killed because they ran out of ammo late 2022.
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Post by mtrstudent on May 1, 2024 14:14:30 GMT
Claimed ATACMS strike hit this group of russian soldiers in training, over 100 km from the front.
Looks like 3 ATACMS hits and the cluster warhead covers the whole group.
Got to imagine all 116+ invaders had a very bad day.
Imagine if Ukraine gets the ~1000 ATACMS that were "out of date" and gonna be retired.
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