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Post by Lawto on Mar 4, 2009 17:25:25 GMT
That's all i reckon we need. I've been looking at the remaining fixtures for those teams around us and I reckon the bottom three will look like this:
18 Newcastle
19 Hull
20 West Brom
Here's why I reckon it will finish like that:
Remaing fixture / predicite result / predicted points
West Brom
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Arsenal Home Lose 22
West Ham Away Lose 22
Bolton Home Draw 23
Stoke Home Draw 24
Portsmouth Away Lose 24
Man City Away Lose 24
Sunderland Home Win 27
Tottenham Away Lose 27
Wigan Home Draw 28
Liverpool Home Lose 28
Blackburn Away Lose 28
Hull City
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Fulham Away Lose 29
Newcastle Home Draw 30
Wigan Away Lose 30
Portsmouth Home Draw 31
Middlesbrough Away Lose 31
Sunderland Away Lose 31
Liverpool Home Lose 31
Aston Villa Away Lose 31
Stoke Home Draw 32
Bolton Away Lose 32
Man Utd Home Lose 32
Newcastle United
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Man Utd Home Lose 28
Hull Away Draw 29
Arsenal Home Lose 29
Chelsea Home Lose 29
Stoke Away Lose 29
Tottenham Away Draw 30
Portsmouth Home Draw 31
Liverpool Away Lose 31
Middlesbrough Home Win 34
Fulham Home Draw 35
Aston Villa Away Lose 35
There you go. 36 points will do it!!!
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Post by trebor63 on Mar 4, 2009 17:34:53 GMT
Most of them predictions look pretty realistic but the worry is us losing at Villa was realistic, Liverpool beating Boro was realistic and thats just from last weekend!
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Post by armitagestokie on Mar 4, 2009 17:36:13 GMT
Too many draws
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Post by Lawto on Mar 4, 2009 17:37:16 GMT
I know what you're saying. However, looking at our fixtures I honestly believe we'll get over 40 points. That should more than account for any shock results.
I can't believe how difficult Newcastle's run in is. They must be shitting themselves!!!
;D
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Post by luke45 on Mar 4, 2009 17:41:35 GMT
Decent post Lawto, we certainly have a far better run in than many on paper, the one thing for me that will decide whether we beat the drop or not, is whether we can maintain our home form till the end of the season, 12-14 points are still required in my opinion to beat the drop, and i personally think we'll do it.
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Post by magicmanfuller on Mar 4, 2009 17:43:48 GMT
U'd like to think so but can see newcastle getting more points than that. I think hull and west brom are garenteed go down, but then it is a lottery for the 3rd spot. 3 pioints tonight for us would be a big factor though.....
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Post by onmebonce on Mar 4, 2009 17:44:12 GMT
sounds good on paper but like valla anything can happen in football
as long as we dont give no more stupid goals away we should be fine
realistically we should not be in this position anyway just silly mistakes have let us down
GOOOOOAAAARRRRRNNNN U POTTERS
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Post by Lawto on Mar 4, 2009 17:45:16 GMT
Luke,
agree mate. The good thing is it's in our own hands. When I did this the other day it made me really confident of staying up.
I've done an excel spreadsheet to work all this out for the bottom 9 teams from now until the end of the season. If anyone want's it PM me with your e-mail address (or post it on here) and I'll e-mail it to you.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 4, 2009 17:50:37 GMT
I think 37 points will do it!!!
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Post by Lawto on Mar 4, 2009 18:08:58 GMT
Bottom 9 remaining fixtures (except Stokes)
West Brom
Opponent Venue Result Cumulative Pts
Arsenal Home Lose 22
West Ham Away Lose 22
Bolton Home Draw 23
Stoke Home Draw 24
Portsmouth Away Lose 24
Man City Away Lose 24
Sunderland Home Win 27
Tottenham Away Lose 27
Wigan Home Draw 28
Liverpool Home Lose 28
Blackburn Away Lose 28
Middlesbrough
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Tottenham Away Lose 26
Portsmouth Home Win 29
Stoke Away Lose 29
Bolton Away Lose 29
Hull Home Win 32
Fulham Home Draw 33
Arsenal Away Lose 33
Man Utd Home Lose 33
Newcastle Away Draw 34
Aston Villa Home Lose 34
West Ham Away Draw 35
Blackburn Rovers
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Everton Home Draw 27
Fulham Away Lose 27
Arsenal Away Lose 27
West Ham Home Win 30
Tottenham Home Win 33
Liverpool Away Lose 33
Stoke Away Draw 34
Wigan Home Draw 35
Man City Away Lose 35
Portsmouth Home Win 38
Chelsea Away Lose 38
West Brom Home Win 41
Portsmouth
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Chelsea Home Lose 28
Middlesbrough Away Lose 28
Everton Home Draw 29
Hull Away Draw 30
West Brom Home Win 33
Bolton Home Win 36
Man Utd Away Lose 36
Newcastle Away Lose 36
Arsenal Home Lose 36
Blackburn Away Lose 36
Sunderland Home Win 39
Wigan Away Lose 39
Hull City
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Fulham Away Lose 29
Newcastle Home Draw 30
Wigan Away Lose 30
Portsmouth Home Draw 31
Middlesbrough Away Lose 31
Sunderland Away Lose 31
Liverpool Home Lose 31
Aston Villa Away Lose 31
Stoke Home Draw 32
Bolton Away Lose 32
Man Utd Home Lose 32
Newcastle United
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Man Utd Home Lose 28
Hull Away Draw 29
Arsenal Home Lose 29
Chelsea Home Lose 29
Stoke Away Lose 29
Tottenham Away Draw 30
Portsmouth Home Win 33
Liverpool Away Lose 33
Middlesbrough Home Draw 34
Fulham Home Draw 35
Aston Villa Away Lose 35
Tottenham Hotspur
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Middlesbrough Home Win 31
Sunderland Away Draw 32
Aston Villa Away Lose 32
Chelsea Home Lose 32
Blackburn Away Lose 32
West Ham Home Win 35
Newcastle Home Draw 36
Man Utd Away Lose 36
West Brom Home Win 39
Everton Away Draw 40
Man City Home Win 43
Liverpool Away Lose 43
Sunderland
Opponent Venue Pts (Season)
Liverpool Away Lose 31
Tottenham Home Draw 32
Wigan Home Win 35
Man City Away Lose 35
West Ham Away Lose 35
Man Utd Home Lose 35
Hull Home Win 38
West Brom Away Lose 38
Everton Home Draw 39
Bolton Away Lose 39
Portsmouth Away Lose 39
Chelsea Home Lose 39
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