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Post by ethers26 on Apr 20, 2024 16:34:28 GMT
With Huddersfield playing Birmingham especially
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Post by Veritas on Apr 20, 2024 16:34:54 GMT
As good as
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Post by citynickscfc on Apr 20, 2024 16:35:43 GMT
SW tomorrow decides it really. QPR need to lose today, brum have same gd and 46 PTS.
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Post by spitthedog on Apr 20, 2024 16:36:32 GMT
With Huddersfield playing Birmingham especially No not mathematically because Sheff Weds, Birmingham, Plymouth, Blackburn and QPR could still finish above us?
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Post by cobhamstokey on Apr 20, 2024 16:36:35 GMT
Good result Brum not beating Rotherham.
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Post by benjaminbiscuit on Apr 20, 2024 16:38:14 GMT
SW tomorrow decides it really. QPR need to lose today, brum have same gd and 46 PTS. If wed lose i can’t see any combination that puts us down
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Post by citynickscfc on Apr 20, 2024 16:39:41 GMT
SW tomorrow decides it really. QPR need to lose today, brum have same gd and 46 PTS. If wed lose i can’t see any combination that puts us down If they win it's pretty open and not certain that 50 is enough, that's the issue. QPR gifted a goal 1-0
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Post by PotterLog on Apr 20, 2024 16:40:33 GMT
We can celebrate, we’re safe.
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Post by Olgrligm on Apr 20, 2024 16:40:56 GMT
I just plugged in a worst case scenario set of results into one of those predictors, where we lost both remaining games 10-0.
We went down level on points with Huddersfield on goal difference.
It's not going to happen. We're fine, especially if Blackburn win tomorrow.
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Post by benjaminbiscuit on Apr 20, 2024 16:41:31 GMT
If wed lose i can’t see any combination that puts us down If they win it's pretty open and not certain that 50 is enough, that's the issue. QPR gifted a goal 1-0 I get that but if they lose I think its dine dn dusted for us and actualy it’s 2 form 3 three then with brum to play Huddersfield
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Post by terryconroysmagic on Apr 20, 2024 16:43:44 GMT
If they win it's pretty open and not certain that 50 is enough, that's the issue. QPR gifted a goal 1-0 I get that but if they lose I think its dine dn dusted for us and actualy it’s 2 form 3 three then with brum to play Huddersfield Don’t worry Benj, you can start predicting our relegation again in a few months 😆
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Post by cobhamstokey on Apr 20, 2024 16:44:36 GMT
Let’s not forget we have Bristol C last game who have zero to play for we should get at least a point from that.
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Post by marcofstoke on Apr 20, 2024 16:46:58 GMT
I just plugged in a worst case scenario set of results into one of those predictors, where we lost both remaining games 10-0. We went down level on points with Huddersfield on goal difference. It's not going to happen. We're fine, especially if Blackburn win tomorrow. If Blackburn win it’s all over 😀
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Post by benjaminbiscuit on Apr 20, 2024 16:47:06 GMT
I get that but if they lose I think its dine dn dusted for us and actualy it’s 2 form 3 three then with brum to play Huddersfield Don’t worry Benj, you can start predicting our relegation again in a few months 😆 Huge summer of change ahead time will tell i think weve the beginnings of a top tier team in JC SJW and SK that know what they are doing in their respective fields. Huth was there today too not a bad shout for recruitment
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Post by PotterLog on Apr 20, 2024 16:47:53 GMT
Let’s not forget we have Bristol C last game who have zero to play for we should get at least a point from that. I think we might get something at Saints. We’ll be relaxed and playing with freedom and they’ll be very deflated after today. They play Lester midweek too I think
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Post by cobhamstokey on Apr 20, 2024 16:49:18 GMT
Let’s not forget we have Bristol C last game who have zero to play for we should get at least a point from that. I think we might get something at Saints. We’ll be relaxed and playing with freedom and they’ll be very deflated after today. They play Lester midweek too I think They do. Tuesday I think. Hopefully they’ll rest a few to prevent them playing 3 games in a week.
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boult
Spectator
Posts: 47
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Post by boult on Apr 20, 2024 16:51:43 GMT
My memory is not what it used to be, but a team that just missed the top 6 a couple of seasons in a row was 3 points up with a +10 GD going into the final round quite a few years back. They lost by 6, and seventh won by 5 and they missed out either by a GD of 1 or goals scored (Cardiff comes to mind, but I just can't remember).
I'll say we are safe when it is mathematical.
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Post by underdog on Apr 20, 2024 16:52:16 GMT
Yes. Ffs.
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Post by jokker on Apr 20, 2024 16:52:37 GMT
Let’s not forget we have Bristol C last game who have zero to play for we should get at least a point from that. That's a common fallacy. Teams that have "zero to play for" often put on their best performances, because there's no pressure on them.
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Post by Olgrligm on Apr 20, 2024 16:54:37 GMT
My memory is not what it used to be, but a team that just missed the top 6 a couple of seasons in a row was 3 points up with a +10 GD going into the final round quite a few years back. They lost by 6, and seventh won by 5 and they missed out either by a GD of 1 or goals scored (Cardiff comes to mind, but I just can't remember). I'll say we are safe when it is mathematical. Forest against us in the Covid season. I think Swansea were the other team.
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Post by blackpoolred on Apr 20, 2024 16:55:06 GMT
It will be in our hands on the last day even if all the results go against us. Blackburn win tomorrow and we can all breathe again and enjoy the last 2 games
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Post by scfcno1fan on Apr 20, 2024 17:02:10 GMT
It would take a crazy set of results to see us down from here.
It’s done.
We’re safe.
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Post by PotterLog on Apr 20, 2024 17:05:21 GMT
My memory is not what it used to be, but a team that just missed the top 6 a couple of seasons in a row was 3 points up with a +10 GD going into the final round quite a few years back. They lost by 6, and seventh won by 5 and they missed out either by a GD of 1 or goals scored (Cardiff comes to mind, but I just can't remember). I'll say we are safe when it is mathematical. Forest wasn’t it? Lost by four on the last day and somebody won by six or seven or something?
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Post by stokiekm on Apr 20, 2024 17:21:08 GMT
The math may say no but I suspect we know we're safe & ideally nailed on tomorrow
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Post by StoKeith on Apr 20, 2024 17:21:35 GMT
I just plugged in a worst case scenario set of results into one of those predictors, where we lost both remaining games 10-0. We went down level on points with Huddersfield on goal difference. It's not going to happen. We're fine, especially if Blackburn win tomorrow. If Birmingham beat Huddersfield in your scenario, we go down two points behind Brum. GD wouldn’t be relevant in that case. Still, I agree it’s highly unlikely!
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Post by stokiejoe on Apr 20, 2024 17:22:15 GMT
Bar the shouting
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Post by Fred Ferret on Apr 20, 2024 17:22:27 GMT
As I see it:
Huddersfield v Birmingham means that one of them wouldn't reach us.
Blackburn win v Sheff Wed would mean Sheff Wed could only equal us but they would have a -32 GD Sheff Wed win v Blackburn would possibly be a squeaky bum time, assuming they also win their last 2 and we lose our last 2.
Suggests, freak results would be only way to harm us.
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Post by Roger Everyone on Apr 20, 2024 17:27:43 GMT
I just plugged in a worst case scenario set of results into one of those predictors, where we lost both remaining games 10-0. We went down level on points with Huddersfield on goal difference. It's not going to happen. We're fine, especially if Blackburn win tomorrow. That's just what I worked out, would have to concede a lot of goals to be in any danger now 😄
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Post by atillathehoneybee on Apr 20, 2024 17:28:40 GMT
If they win it's pretty open and not certain that 50 is enough, that's the issue. QPR gifted a goal 1-0 I get that but if they lose I think its dine dn dusted for us and actualy it’s 2 form 3 three then with brum to play Huddersfield Again, for those no familiar with Benji speak allow me. Apples and fireplace ornaments come from pomegranate seed mainly delivered from window ledges.
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Post by lancer on Apr 20, 2024 17:29:34 GMT
With Huddersfield playing Birmingham especially If we lose our last two games and don't score a goal, and Huddersfield win their last two game, they will have to score twelve more goals to better our goal difference to go above us. I'd say we're safe.
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