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Post by JoeinOz on Nov 2, 2023 10:22:54 GMT
No reason why we can't win. Four wins in a row is a tough ask but it shouldn't have to be.
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Post by LGH87 on Nov 2, 2023 10:50:29 GMT
The more I think about it, the more I’d like to Junho given the nod as a 10 on Saturday.
DJ has been better the last three games and he’s been instrumental on the press but Saturday we’re going to have the ball for large spells. I feel Junho may be the one that could unlock a well organised Cardiff, playing in between the lines line he does picking the ball up on the half turn creating space and opportunities for the front 3
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Post by Veritas on Nov 2, 2023 10:58:57 GMT
A front 3 of Haksabanovic - Leris - Vidigal would be interesting all mobile enough to do the high press and Leris ability in the air would be a threat
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Post by LGH87 on Nov 2, 2023 11:21:09 GMT
A front 3 of Haksabanovic - Leris - Vidigal would be interesting all mobile enough to do the high press and Leris ability in the air would be a threat Yeah I’d Mmaee isn’t fit this is the front 3 id start with and Junho behind. Would be a joy to watch that front 4
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Post by jimmygscfc1234 on Nov 2, 2023 11:53:21 GMT
I'd hope that Bae at least gets on the bloody pitch at some stage.
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Post by Olgrligm on Nov 2, 2023 12:01:04 GMT
I thought that Cardiff might be a team who would come in, batten down the hatches and make it difficult for us on Saturday. That stats suggest that we might actually be in for a game with some goals.
We have the 9th worst non-penalty expected goals against per 90 minutes in the league, with teams expected to score 1.27 goals per game against us. Cardiff actually have the 7th worst at 1.29 non-penalty expected goals against per game. In other words, their defensive record is very similar to us. That's interesting because:
We've seen how fragile our defence has been for large parts of this season, particularly our determination to gift opponents chances with poor passes or dodgy positioning. You might reasonably expect to see similar slapdash stuff from Cardiff.
All but one of Cardiff's wins have come against teams below us. In fact, they've only played five games against teams above us, winning one, drawing one and losing three. In contrast, eight of our 14 games have been against teams above us, three of which we have won.
In other words, our poor defensive record comes having played all of the teams at the top, whereas they've played against much poorer teams than us.
The only fly in the ointment is that neither of us are very good at attacking. They are the 14th best for non-penalty expected goals in the league and we are 16th, with 16.0 and 15.7 respectively. Again, that has come in games mostly against the top teams for us and mostly against rubbish for them. Furthermore, they're actually overperforming, having scored 20 goals in the league (minus penalties, 4 goals over expectation) and only conceding 16 (2 goals under expectation). In contrast, we are pretty much spot on what you would expect - 15 non-penalty goals scored (0.7 goals under expectation) and 17 conceded (0.7 goals under expectation).
What I'm hoping that we're going to see on Saturday is a team that can't defend and have their luck run out. I'll put us down for a 4-0 win*.
*Fully expecting all of this to come back and bite me. Also, I couldn't tell you a single player in Cardiff's team and have no idea how they actually play.
P.S. thank goodness Aaron Ramsey looks to be out with a medium-term injury. That removes some of the opportunity for us to look small-time thirteen years on from a certain incident.
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Post by lordb on Nov 2, 2023 12:18:05 GMT
But Cardiff sit back and counter so the press isn't necessarily the best approach for this game We have to break them down as such ideally like to see as many of the creative players as possible Fair enough, but I don’t think we should change a winning formula. Neil has been too focused in the past on out-thinking the opposition rather than getting our players properly drilled into a consistent approach and identity. Now we’ve got the genesis of one we should keep at it. a strong argument just concerned it's the wrong approach specific to this game & potentially more home games if we do keep getting results as more sides will come & sit deep away from home & games at home v the better sides (who probably will come & attack us) then yes keep doing what we are doing lets see what happens, perhaps Cardiff won't sit deep anyway
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Post by mattythestokie on Nov 2, 2023 12:27:37 GMT
Nigel Pearson said this about them after the 2-0 defeat last weekend: "Cardiff might be doing okay, but I wouldn't put them up there with the best sides. At all. I wouldn't say that at all." When it was pointed to him that Cardiff are now fifth, Pearson doubled down, adding: "Good for them. It doesn't make a difference in my opinion on whether they've got quality or not. You've asked me a question and I've told you what I think about it. "There's nobody in this room that looks at that game, 'yeah Cardiff are a really good side compared to Bristol City'. I don't think. If you say that, then I'm not sure you're looking at the right game because I don't think it was a game with a lot of quality. 1-0 Cardiff then.
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Post by femark on Nov 2, 2023 12:38:05 GMT
Fair enough, but I don’t think we should change a winning formula. Neil has been too focused in the past on out-thinking the opposition rather than getting our players properly drilled into a consistent approach and identity. Now we’ve got the genesis of one we should keep at it. a strong argument just concerned it's the wrong approach specific to this game & potentially more home games if we do keep getting results as more sides will come & sit deep away from home & games at home v the better sides (who probably will come & attack us) then yes keep doing what we are doing lets see what happens, perhaps Cardiff won't sit deep anyway Neil has spoken previously about having more than one system of play so we can react to the opposition. In it's most basic form that would be one attacking formation/team and one defensive. In reality it's not as simple as that but I agree that the high press of the last few games wont necessarily suite this one.
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Post by Mr_DaftBurger on Nov 2, 2023 12:39:55 GMT
For some reason win this and I'll be getting really excited we've turned a corner. We seem to do well against the better teams!
As suggested Haks, Leris, Vidigal could be great or could totally disrupt our right flank! Worth a go, Leris is insane in the air!
Bonham Hoever McNally Rose Stevens Pearson Laurent Johnson Leris Mmaee Vidigal
Team I think he'll play!
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Post by Staffsoatcake on Nov 2, 2023 13:22:57 GMT
I thought that Cardiff might be a team who would come in, batten down the hatches and make it difficult for us on Saturday. That stats suggest that we might actually be in for a game with some goals. We have the 9th worst non-penalty expected goals against per 90 minutes in the league, with teams expected to score 1.27 goals per game against us. Cardiff actually have the 7th worst at 1.29 non-penalty expected goals against per game. In other words, their defensive record is very similar to us. That's interesting because: We've seen how fragile our defence has been for large parts of this season, particularly our determination to gift opponents chances with poor passes or dodgy positioning. You might reasonably expect to see similar slapdash stuff from Cardiff. All but one of Cardiff's wins have come against teams below us. In fact, they've only played five games against teams above us, winning one, drawing one and losing three. In contrast, eight of our 14 games have been against teams above us, three of which we have won. In other words, our poor defensive record comes having played all of the teams at the top, whereas they've played against much poorer teams than us. The only fly in the ointment is that neither of us are very good at attacking. They are the 14th best for non-penalty expected goals in the league and we are 16th, with 16.0 and 15.7 respectively. Again, that has come in games mostly against the top teams for us and mostly against rubbish for them. Furthermore, they're actually overperforming, having scored 20 goals in the league (minus penalties, 4 goals over expectation) and only conceding 16 (2 goals under expectation). In contrast, we are pretty much spot on what you would expect - 15 non-penalty goals scored (0.7 goals under expectation) and 17 conceded (0.7 goals under expectation). What I'm hoping that we're going to see on Saturday is a team that can't defend and have their luck run out. I'll put us down for a 4-0 win*. *Fully expecting all of this to come back and bite me. Also, I couldn't tell you a single player in Cardiff's team and have no idea how they actually play. P.S. thank goodness Aaron Ramsey looks to be out with a medium-term injury. That removes some of the opportunity for us to look small-time thirteen years on from a certain incident. We could have Ryan greeting them off the bus, Ryan holds his hand out for a hand shake to Ramsey then see who is small time.
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Post by shawi on Nov 2, 2023 14:03:52 GMT
The Cardiff fans that I know all say the team are playing well but the main weakness is in midfield. We'll see what Saturday brings!
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Post by baconburger on Nov 2, 2023 14:14:22 GMT
I thought that Cardiff might be a team who would come in, batten down the hatches and make it difficult for us on Saturday. That stats suggest that we might actually be in for a game with some goals. We have the 9th worst non-penalty expected goals against per 90 minutes in the league, with teams expected to score 1.27 goals per game against us. Cardiff actually have the 7th worst at 1.29 non-penalty expected goals against per game. In other words, their defensive record is very similar to us. That's interesting because: We've seen how fragile our defence has been for large parts of this season, particularly our determination to gift opponents chances with poor passes or dodgy positioning. You might reasonably expect to see similar slapdash stuff from Cardiff. All but one of Cardiff's wins have come against teams below us. In fact, they've only played five games against teams above us, winning one, drawing one and losing three. In contrast, eight of our 14 games have been against teams above us, three of which we have won. In other words, our poor defensive record comes having played all of the teams at the top, whereas they've played against much poorer teams than us. The only fly in the ointment is that neither of us are very good at attacking. They are the 14th best for non-penalty expected goals in the league and we are 16th, with 16.0 and 15.7 respectively. Again, that has come in games mostly against the top teams for us and mostly against rubbish for them. Furthermore, they're actually overperforming, having scored 20 goals in the league (minus penalties, 4 goals over expectation) and only conceding 16 (2 goals under expectation). In contrast, we are pretty much spot on what you would expect - 15 non-penalty goals scored (0.7 goals under expectation) and 17 conceded (0.7 goals under expectation). What I'm hoping that we're going to see on Saturday is a team that can't defend and have their luck run out. I'll put us down for a 4-0 win*. *Fully expecting all of this to come back and bite me. Also, I couldn't tell you a single player in Cardiff's team and have no idea how they actually play. P.S. thank goodness Aaron Ramsey looks to be out with a medium-term injury. That removes some of the opportunity for us to look small-time thirteen years on from a certain incident. I’ve not checked your stats but feel they must be pretty misleading if they make you reckon Cardiff are not very good in an attacking sense. They’ve scored in all but 2 games this season including 11 games in succession. I find that quite impressive myself. By comparison we’ve failed to score on 7 occasions.
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Post by scfcno1fan on Nov 2, 2023 16:38:32 GMT
Weather looks pretty atrocious.
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Post by skip on Nov 2, 2023 16:39:57 GMT
Thank goodness Aaron Ramsey looks to be out with a medium-term injury. That removes some of the opportunity for us to look small-time thirteen years on from a certain incident. Yes x 1,000.
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Post by lordb on Nov 2, 2023 17:18:50 GMT
The Cardiff fans that I know all say the team are playing well but the main weakness is in midfield. We'll see what Saturday brings! Interesting looking for Pearson and Burger to dominate then
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Post by vidigal7 on Nov 3, 2023 8:11:57 GMT
No Cardiff presser? Crouchpotato is normally quick out of the blocks with snippets from knot f.m.
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Post by bagnallboothen on Nov 3, 2023 8:27:55 GMT
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Post by vidigal7 on Nov 3, 2023 8:46:41 GMT
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Post by vidigal7 on Nov 3, 2023 9:12:35 GMT
Speaks a lot of sense in that presser
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Post by neddy on Nov 3, 2023 9:22:36 GMT
I see Maaee and Vidigal were at Knypersley the other night. Wonder if anyone asked Ryan if he’s fit for tomorrow?
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Post by FullerMagic on Nov 3, 2023 11:48:00 GMT
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Post by FullerMagic on Nov 3, 2023 11:56:20 GMT
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Post by lordb on Nov 3, 2023 12:18:22 GMT
He speaks really well He makes a lot of points that have been made on here too Highfield Cardiff set piece threat, we have been poor at this season, that in itself is a test
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Post by yellowsnowman on Nov 3, 2023 12:32:49 GMT
I would love a win tomorrow people!!! I really hope the lads are up for this one come on boys.
Oh when the reds!!!
UTMP.
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Post by bagnallboothen on Nov 3, 2023 12:42:57 GMT
Big opportunity tomorrow to show we have turned a corner. I don't think a point would be the end of the world, keep some momentum going and it's not the inevitable 0-1 defeat a lot are expecting.
Crowd will play a big part, patience might well be required. 4 points from the next 2 would see us sitting pretty going into the break.
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Post by y_oh_y_delilah on Nov 3, 2023 12:49:00 GMT
No reason why we can't win. Four wins in a row is a tough ask but it shouldn't have to be. But it isn’t is it? Before Sunderland it was indeed four wins in a row but as we stand now, it’s only one win in a row. As it’s Cardiff (no pushovers admittedly but not THAT difficult) we have a good realistic chance of winning this one in a row.
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Post by wakefieldstokie on Nov 3, 2023 12:50:46 GMT
I've given up trying to name the side, one thing I've learnt is not to second guess AN with his line up.
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Post by proscriptus on Nov 3, 2023 13:05:41 GMT
I'm feeling hopeful, which is a very uncomfortable feeling. My experience tells me don't trust it, we looked great last winter for a spell, too.
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Post by GreaterGlasgowstokie on Nov 3, 2023 13:12:27 GMT
This would be our biggest win for me in this run. They are exactly the sort of team we have always lost against.
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