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Post by mattyd on Nov 19, 2019 13:48:26 GMT
Had a little dabble on a system where you back massively odds on teams, usually in cup games, and I chose Euro 2020 qualifiers.
If you start with a fiver and get 100 right at odds of roughly 1/10 it returns an incredible 70K
Starts off mega slow, but after 30 goes you are up to 90 quid, after 50 it's 600 quid, after 75 it's 6,500 quid...
So far I have done 14 successfully in 3 days...
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Post by santy on Nov 19, 2019 14:01:15 GMT
Seen stories of people building up thousands through "safe" low odds bets from a £10 or so starting point only to lose 4/5/6k on one bet eventually.
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Post by wembley4372 on Nov 19, 2019 14:06:08 GMT
Won't you get stopped at some point by a maximum bet limit?
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Post by riproaringagain on Nov 19, 2019 14:09:40 GMT
Won't you get stopped at some point by a maximum bet limit? Oh yes you will, when their fun stops it stops
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Post by sheikhmomo on Nov 19, 2019 14:12:01 GMT
Seen stories of people building up thousands through "safe" low odds bets from a £10 or so starting point only to lose 4/5/6k on one bet eventually. Yeah it's a ticking time bomb. You will get caught out eventually. I knew a punter once who did something similar with in running betting. Did his entire bank on a 1/66 shot. Backed a team at 3-0 up with 13 minutes to go and they ended up drawing 3-3.
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Post by santy on Nov 19, 2019 14:22:55 GMT
Won't you get stopped at some point by a maximum bet limit? I'd imagine if you've only put a tenner in, its in the bookies best interests to let you keep going because sooner or later surely you're going to lose one. I assume that's how the situations I've seen have happened.
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Post by sheds1862 on Nov 19, 2019 15:18:28 GMT
me and a work colleague once had a ' system 'where you just had to pick a match for there to be a goal. Could pick any League in the World basically.
We put 100 quid a piece in and began say the likes of Man City V Cardiff at 1/80 That would come in , then we'd say have Liverpool v Huddersfield 1/100 .
You get the idea.
After alternatively picking just one game every weekend it came to week 17 and we maybe had got up to 300 quid , so a healthy 50 quid profit each.
Can't exactly remember the opposition but Dortmund were 1/12 just to win the game, so we put the 350 quid on at say 1/80 again to win 4 quid.
0-0
Never ever believe in a surefire way to win. There is no such thing.
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Post by mattyd on Nov 19, 2019 16:58:07 GMT
Some good points raised, that I have considered, and TBH if it gets to around 500 quid will almost certainly cash in, either fully or partially, and start again, maybe run 2 or 3 side by side.
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Post by chigstoke on Nov 19, 2019 17:52:56 GMT
I had a tenner on Scotland tonight against Kazakhstan. You'd like to think they'd win, odds a 1/2, but I'll no doubt get fucked over.
Gone for any matches tonight matty? Scots are decent money, Germany at 1/10, Belgium and Holland @ 1/50 is obviously very poor. I avoided going Wales and Poland.
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Post by sheds1862 on Nov 19, 2019 18:20:55 GMT
Some good points raised, that I have considered, and TBH if it gets to around 500 quid will almost certainly cash in, either fully or partially, and start again, maybe run 2 or 3 side by side. That is the thing Matty , you need to stick by an amount and be prepared to say that is my lot. The one i pointed out, we aimed to get to 500 quid and then share the pot so a profit of 150 each. Looks so simple, pick any game out of about 150 games for there to just be 1 goal scored. What can possibly go wrong !! Tennis is another sport with loads of 1/66, 1/33 in a 2 horse race. All the Grand slams throw up a massive upset each year. Eventually as somebody else has said, say you are putting 750 quid on a 1/33 the bookies might offer you 200 at that price and 550 quid at 1/50. They tend to crap themselves and hedge their bets. As long as you have the money to lose it is a harmless gamble but believe you me matey there is no such thing as a cert. France were 1/50 last weekend and only got the winner i think in the 87th minute. Don't get greedy is the motto
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Post by mattyd on Nov 19, 2019 18:50:19 GMT
I had a tenner on Scotland tonight against Kazakhstan. You'd like to think they'd win, odds a 1/2, but I'll no doubt get fucked over. Gone for any matches tonight matty? Scots are decent money, Germany at 1/10, Belgium and Holland @ 1/50 is obviously very poor. I avoided going Wales and Poland. Got Germany at 1/6 ( 1.16) which is the last of a 6 fold I placed on Sunday, for Monday/Tue matches... The other 5 all came in, so the Germany result nets me 22 quid and is Bet No 14... Will then look at CONCAF and Asian qualifiers. Nothing I fancy in FA cup so will steer well clear.
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Post by mattyd on Nov 19, 2019 18:57:18 GMT
So far I have gone Switzerland Norway Finland Germany Khazakstan Slovenia Portugal Turkey Norway ( again) Spain Italy Bosnia Hertz Sweden Germany ( Again) Still to play.
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Post by marylandstoke on Nov 19, 2019 20:52:59 GMT
So far I have gone Switzerland Norway Finland Germany Khazakstan Slovenia Portugal Turkey Norway ( again) Spain Italy Bosnia Hertz Sweden Germany ( Again) Still to play. And Jose to Spurs at 1/3?
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Post by chigstoke on Nov 19, 2019 21:50:51 GMT
Scotland came through for me. Lovely stuff.
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Post by mattyd on Nov 19, 2019 22:11:36 GMT
14/14 for me.
Not a lot catches my eye.
Was gonna roll it on Puerto Rico, but they are almost as shit as their opposition.
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Post by musik on Nov 20, 2019 12:13:23 GMT
I'm the opposite of winning. Ask me and you'll know what you shouldn't pick.
In Sweden we have a betting list of matches called "Lången". You have to pick at least 3 games, any of them, and you simply multiply the odds on them to get a total.
Example: Man City - Burton 1 1.15 Bradford - Stoke 2 1.95 Salernitana - Spal X 2.35
It gives 1.15 x 1.95 x 2.35 = 5.27 times the money you spend.
My brother did that for many weeks several days a week and had a winning rate of about 75%, 3 times of 4 he picked the right three results.
So I decided to try it. I did for 53 times and wasn't able to pick three #@$#@ results once, not once. Not even when I became desperate and picked only top favourites, like Man City, Juventus, PSG etc. 1.10 x 1.15 x 1.05 ... it didn't help.
😃
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