|
|
Post by musik on Apr 15, 2008 21:41:02 GMT
...how good are our chances to be direct qualified? I would say 40%. After what I saw tonight Hull could win their three games and I do believe West Brom will stay top.  It could be a goal difference horror, but let's focus on our own games first! ;D :musik |
|
|
|
Post by mark71 on Apr 15, 2008 21:42:52 GMT
i'm 1,00000000000000000% sure 3 wins will see us promoted.
|
|
|
|
Post by FullerMagic on Apr 15, 2008 21:44:31 GMT
I think if we win all 3 games, we've got about a..er..er..let's see...90% chance of going up.
But that if is obviously massive.
|
|
|
|
Post by Jamo on the wing on Apr 15, 2008 21:45:25 GMT
Agreed, I still believe it's a done deal if we win all 3.
|
|
|
|
Post by Tubes on Apr 15, 2008 22:00:54 GMT
90% given that we win all 3
The bookies odds for Hull to win on sat are 7/4, lets assume the odds are similar away to Ipswich, with evens against Palace at home (reasonable, since those are the odds for a Watford home win to palace) Thats roughly 14/1 on them winning all 3. I know these games aren't independent of each other, and they can carry momentum through and such forth, but it's an indicator of how likely they are to win all 3.
Even if they do win all 3, there's then the possibility that West Brom lose a game, which you need to multiply into the equation. Can't be arsed to work out the bookies odds for this but it further lengthens the odds of us winning all 3 and then not being promoted.
If we win all 3, we will be promoted!
|
|
|
|
Post by jemma1989 on Apr 15, 2008 22:08:57 GMT
promoted when we win all 3  |
|
|
|
Post by musik on Apr 15, 2008 22:40:24 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Tubes on Apr 15, 2008 22:45:13 GMT
problem is, I always end up "adjusting" the results so that Stoke get promoted. We need 3 wins, end of.
edit - 100th post, off go's the helmet, up goes the bat, receives applause from the pavillion
|
|
|
|
Post by musik on Apr 15, 2008 22:52:17 GMT
I have never thought it would be enough with 2 wins and a draw, but the predictor just showed I was wrong. The Championship is REALLY a tight interesting fascinating league this season!!
|
|
jonny
Academy Starlet
Best midfield in the land
Posts: 136
|
Post by jonny on Apr 15, 2008 23:05:18 GMT
win 3 and promotion is in the bag for any of the top 4.
|
|
|
|
Post by trend....... on Apr 15, 2008 23:06:28 GMT
probably finish atleast top 2 if we do win all 3 but.........we wont!
|
|
|
|
Post by musik on Apr 15, 2008 23:12:17 GMT
probably finish atleast top 2 if we do win all 3 but.........we wont! What do you mean by "we"? |
|
|
|
Post by steinovschmeichel on Apr 15, 2008 23:16:58 GMT
if we win the next 3 games even if we don;t go up auto we will be the inform team for the play offs. but personally i think 3 wins will do it. if wba or hull lose 1 or in hulls case draw one game then we will have em
|
|
|
|
Post by trend....... on Apr 15, 2008 23:20:21 GMT
probably finish atleast top 2 if we do win all 3 but.........we wont! What do you mean by "we"? ??? seeing you have used 'our', i dont understand what you're getting at...? |
|
|
|
Post by tonyboddington on Apr 15, 2008 23:29:49 GMT
If you win your last three games i will have my bottom four ribs removed to enable me to chew my own Bollocks off
|
|
