|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 10:05:20 GMT
just a random question about football betting
say you put a bet of Stoke to win the league cup from the start and put a quid on it.
would it work out better odds and a bigger return if you just put a quid on them in every round?
Just thinking because if you win until the quarters then lose, your still making a profit than the £1 loss on the quarters...
just a thought i had last night ;D
|
|
|
|
Post by french toast on Sept 23, 2010 10:09:21 GMT
that would depend on if we went though in extra time, or replay etc, who we are playing etc
|
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2010 10:13:09 GMT
Depends really.
There would be 6 ties in all and the odds on each match would be dependent on opposition and if we were away or at home. I would say the average odds would be around 6/4 or 2/1 for each fixture (at a guesstimate) so if we were to win all 6 ties you wouldn’t really win a lot.
If we pulled off 2 or 3 away wins against the likes of Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal along the way then there’s a fair chance you’d get odds of 6/1 or 8/1 upwards and get a few decent returns and over the 6 ties you’d be a fair amount up.
You have to take into consideration extra and pens as well though. It’s possible we could make the final without actually winning a match (in betting terms, if you bet on us £1 to win each tie that counts as the 90 minute result, does not include extra time and pens so you would lose your stake).
Give the odds on us winning before the tournament kicked off I’d say it’s fair to assume you’d win more on sticking a quid on us to win before it all started. You’d win regardless of whether we won every tie on pen’s too.
Not that I see us winning it mind!!
|
|
|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 10:47:53 GMT
we were 2.5/1 to beat fulham (fuck knows with the .5)
just a thought what would make you better off wise if we won all in the 90 mins
|
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2010 10:54:26 GMT
we were 2.5/1 to beat fulham (fuck knows with the .5) just a thought what would make you better off wise if we won all in the 90 mins If you stuck a quid on at 2.5/1 and we won it in 90 mins, your return would be £3.50 (profit of £2.50). If this happened 6 times then your profit would be £15. The odds for us to win the tournament before it started were definitely higher than 15/1 so that would be a bigger return (if we did win the cup). WD p.s. I am pretty sure we were 6/4 to beat Fulham. You may have seem decimal odds of 2.5 which is the equivalent of 6/4. |
|
|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 10:57:52 GMT
i got it at 11/4 (rough maths to 2.5/1)
|
|
|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 10:58:42 GMT
also if we beat man utd at old trafford the odds would be better than 2.5/1  |
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2010 11:01:17 GMT
i got it at 11/4 (rough maths to 2.5/1) I’m very surprised you got odds of 11/4 of us to beat Fulham, especially as we were at home. Back to the original question though, as I said, it depends on a lot of variables. I would assume you’d win more by betting on us to win the tournament before it started. Having said that, if you stick a quid on us to win every tie and we end up losing in the Semi’s or in the Final for example, then you’d at least have some profit from the earlier rounds. As long as we did actually win the previous rounds within the 90 mins and not extra time or pens. Swings and roundabouts mate. |
|
|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 11:10:13 GMT
think i might keep going on backing stoke through each round then...
if i lose i lose nothing just bet with winnings on Fulham game. if i win im quids in ;D
|
|
|
|
Post by Maccca100 on Sept 23, 2010 11:15:14 GMT
You would have won 33p for the shrewsbury match
|
|
|
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2010 11:16:36 GMT
You would have won 33p for the shrewsbury match Every little helps! |
|
|
|
Post by StokieMatt on Sept 23, 2010 11:20:30 GMT
if i won 33p id of put £1.33 on Fulham game  |
|
