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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 11, 2022 20:20:07 GMT
Videos of explosions like these are getting posted almost every night. Looks like ammo again because of the continuous explosions.
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Post by prestwichpotter on Jul 12, 2022 1:02:38 GMT
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Post by prestwichpotter on Jul 12, 2022 1:03:24 GMT
It's a very good watch if you have the time. This is chilling (and I've watched all of it), not because I think he's right, but because, although he's an intellectual, he's also a right-wing nutter and a God-botherer to boot. Much of what he says is correct, and most of those correct things are what a non-intellectual can deduce from the situation, but then he strays into theological pastures of insanity and right-wing extremism that would make Steve Bannon look like Jeremy Corbyn. He's a very dangerous individual. OS. I honestly think he’s having some kind of breakdown…..
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Post by questionable on Jul 12, 2022 14:47:49 GMT
ANOTHER ONE BITES THE DUST Another General Killed as Russian Leak Admits ‘Big Shot Fucking Command’ Was Obliterated As Ukraine reports a devastating blow to Russia’s military, one of Putin’s troops is caught telling a friend of “12 dead” among the senior commanders. Ukrainian forces took out yet another Russian general in a massive counterattack in Kherson, local authorities said Tuesday. A general and five Russian military officers were killed in a Ukrainian strike on Russian headquarters using the U.S.-supplied M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARs), according to Serhiy Bratchuk, a representative of the Odesa regional military administration. “After a strike by HIMARS on the headquarters in the Kherson region, Major General [Artyom] Nasbulin, the head of the 22nd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces (military unit 73954, Simferopol), was killed. Colonel Kens, whose death we announced yesterday, died there as well. And apart from him, the commander of the 20th motorized rifle division (military unit 22220, Volgograd) Colonel Andrei Gorobyets, the head of the operational department of the headquarters of the 20th MRD, Colonel Koval, the head of artillery of the 20th MRD, Colonel Gordeev. In total more than 150 died, including 5 officers,” Bratchuk said in a statement posted on Telegram. Russian-installed authorities in the occupied Nova Kakhovka confirmed a Ukrainian strike on the area but made no mention of the Russian general and officers killed, claiming instead that Ukrainian forces had used “American HIMARS” to strike a warehouse storing a chemical compound that caused a massive explosion. Russia’s RIA Novosti, citing local Kremlin-backed authorities, said at least five people were killed, seven were missing, and up to 80 were injured. The strike came shortly after Ukrainian authorities announced they were launching a counterattack to push Russian forces out of the occupied Kherson region, pleading with residents to get out of the area. “It’s clear there will be fighting, there will be artillery shelling... and we therefore urge (people) to evacuate urgently, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister, Iryna Vereshchuk, said on national television on Sunday. Ukraine lost control of most of the Kherson region following Vladimir Putin’s Feb. 24 invasion, and Russia was quick to install its own leaders in the “new administrations” throughout the area, even as Ukrainian partisans made clear they would not surrender the land without a brutal fight. In a rare move, Russia’s setbacks in the face of Ukraine acquiring HIMARS were acknowledged even by pro-Kremlin figures. “Ukrainian missiles and artillery have struck decision-making centers several times. With results. The centers are small but important,” Alexander Sladkov, a correspondent for the state-run Rossia 1, wrote on Telegram on Monday. Igor Girkin, the former FSB colonel-turned-Russian separatist commander in the early days of the war in the Donbas (who famously implicated Russia in the downing of MH17 on social media), wrote on Telegram that Russia had “suffered large losses” in recent days and “the Russian air defense systems… turned out to be ineffective against massive strikes by HIMARS missiles.” The devastation wrought against the Russian military in the Kherson strike also appeared to be confirmed in audio released by Ukrainian intelligence on Monday. In what was described by the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine’s Defense Ministry as an intercepted phone call between Russian troops, one of the men can be heard dropping the bombshell that the “top command” had been wiped out in a Ukrainian strike. “I think you have already heard about what happened yesterday…. in Kherson?” the purported soldier says. When his friend responds that he’s not aware of anything big out of Kherson, the soldier notes that it’s not a conversation they should be having “over the phone,” but nonetheless goes on to tell him there are “12 dead” among the “big shot fucking command.” Kherson is not the only region where the HIMAR systems appear to have proven effective. The Strategic Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Tuesday also said the 106th Guards Airborne Division of the Russian Federation had suffered a devastating blow in occupied Shakhtarsk, in the Donetsk region. In a statement on Telegram, Strategic Command said all deputy commanders of the division had been killed in a Ukrainian strike, except for one who was left in critical condition.
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Post by questionable on Jul 12, 2022 15:05:35 GMT
Giant Explosions Rock More Russian Ammunition Depots In Ukraine Jul 11, 2022 | 5:10 PM More dramatic video is emerging of what is said to be a Ukrainian campaign against Russian ammunition depots using U.S.-supplied M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS, and other artillery systems. The latest videos show explosions and fires at what is claimed to be Russian ammunition storage facilities in Nova Kakhovka, a city in the Kherson Oblast. The Russians lost a “warehouse with ammunition,” Serhiy Khlan, an advisor to the head of the Kherson regional military administration said on his Facebook page early Tuesday morning Ukraine time. “People are flying out their windows, but they are still happy… because that means the Armed Forces of Ukraine is close.” The shock waves were felt nearly 2,000 feet from the blast site, witnesses said. The Russians, however, claim Ukraine hit a “warehouse with humanitarian aid” and that there were civilian casualties. “As a result of the UAF’s strike on Novaya Kakhovka, warehouses with mineral fertilizers and saltpeter exploded, explosions continue,” the Russian news agency TASS quoted Vladimir Leontiev – the head of the military-civilian administration of the Kakhovka district of the Kherson region – as saying. “There are victims, a hospital, a market, and residential buildings were damaged, windows flew out within a radius of two kilometers.” There is one thing both sides appear to agree on. The attacks were carried out in part by the HIMARS systems the U.S. sent to Ukraine, eight of which are in country with four more on the way. “According to preliminary information of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the time of the strike, there was a large fleet of vehicles at the base of the invaders in Nova Kakhovka, including at least 50 fuel trucks, as well as about 200 missiles for the Smerch MLRS and many personnel,” the pro-Ukrainian News From Kherson Telegram channel reported. “Well, is there anything else for HIMARS?” Russian Telegram sites agreed that HIMARS was involved. “2 Russian accounts confirm what I presumed that Ukraine launches Uragan or Grad MLRS and then launches HIMARS or Tochka-U to make it more difficult for Russian air defenses to counter them. It is no coincidence that Tochka-U have been more effective since Ukraine received HIMARS,” Rob Lee said in a Tweet. Russian bloggers and commentators seem despondent and outraged over the attacks using HIMARS. When asked for comment by The War Zone about what was targetted and whether HIMARS were used, the Pentagon deferred questions to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense. The attacks, which included some over the weekend, are part of a concerted Ukrainian effort to use the HIMARS and other systems to go after Russian ammunition depots, according to The Telegraph. Clearly, a campaign is underway to undercut Russia’s ability to massively bombard target areas by going after the very munitions needed to do so. How effective this will be at blunting the Russian Army’s artillery juggernaut is still too early to be seen, but it certainly won’t help them, that’s for sure. Contact the author: howard@thewarzone.com
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Post by turtlefox on Jul 12, 2022 21:34:48 GMT
This is chilling (and I've watched all of it), not because I think he's right, but because, although he's an intellectual, he's also a right-wing nutter and a God-botherer to boot. Much of what he says is correct, and most of those correct things are what a non-intellectual can deduce from the situation, but then he strays into theological pastures of insanity and right-wing extremism that would make Steve Bannon look like Jeremy Corbyn. He's a very dangerous individual. OS. I honestly think he’s having some kind of breakdown….. After his illness, I thought the same. Crying on camera at the thought of Jesus' love ? Never right.
Always a cautious ear when religion starts getting talked about but there are some good and fair points made in this clip.
JP is not a right wing nutter though. That's unfair on real right wing nutters ( OS' words not yours )
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 13, 2022 1:52:34 GMT
Tonight Ukraine hit something else big in Luhansk. Current rumours are a big Russian anti-aircraft set up.
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Post by questionable on Jul 13, 2022 6:29:42 GMT
Pity they can’t reach the Kremlin whilst it’s full, loving these HIMARS without a doubt the USA are giving them detailed information as to where to point them.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 14, 2022 15:43:55 GMT
The people who know stuff say there's evidence Russians are using anti-aircraft missiles to attack cities.
Total guess: Russia has used up its modern missiles except for the emergency stockpile. Instead of launching hundreds of modern ones per week, they'll only be able to make a dozen or so per week. The rest will be scraped together old crap, anti-air, anti-ship etc.
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Post by steve66 on Jul 14, 2022 17:32:19 GMT
I can’t understand why a war on our doorstep is not main news now, people killed yet again many miles from where the fighting going on as russia tries to destroy the Ukrainian backbone, tossers/backstabbers in some kind of vote get main exposure, people being murdered only just made the news before the Kevin spacey story ffs
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Post by mrcoke on Jul 14, 2022 18:34:33 GMT
I can’t understand why a war on our doorstep is not main news now, people killed yet again many miles from where the fighting going on as russia tries to destroy the Ukrainian backbone, tossers/backstabbers in some kind of vote get main exposure, people being murdered only just made the news before the Kevin spacey story ffs My sentiments as well. I'm afraid just as our politicians are "broken" in this country, so is our news media. There isn't a newspaper any more that displays balance and is not "economical with the truth" giving slanted reports, and some just print outright lies.
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Post by lordb on Jul 14, 2022 20:27:32 GMT
I can’t understand why a war on our doorstep is not main news now, people killed yet again many miles from where the fighting going on as russia tries to destroy the Ukrainian backbone, tossers/backstabbers in some kind of vote get main exposure, people being murdered only just made the news before the Kevin spacey story ffs My sentiments as well. I'm afraid just as our politicians are "broken" in this country, so is our news media. There isn't a newspaper any more that displays balance and is not "economical with the truth" giving slanted reports, and some just print outright lies. 'any more' When did newspapers not print outright lies?
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Post by Gods on Jul 14, 2022 21:04:02 GMT
I can’t understand why a war on our doorstep is not main news now, people killed yet again many miles from where the fighting going on as russia tries to destroy the Ukrainian backbone, tossers/backstabbers in some kind of vote get main exposure, people being murdered only just made the news before the Kevin spacey story ffs It's unbelievable. And I think the West is just going to sit back while Russia annexes the whole of Ukraine. It's sickening.
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Post by RichieBarkerOut! on Jul 14, 2022 21:46:50 GMT
John R Bruning has stopped his briefings, I know he's currently writing his next book, so I guess he's taken a break from keeping up with Ukraine.
Fortunately, Jon Parsall is still going and he post below is from way back on the 8th of July. As nearly a week has gone by since John wrote his piece, it's interesting to see that much of what he says has proven to be correct in terms of direction of travel.
Where are we at in Ukraine? Answer: somewhere in the messy middle of this thing, with no clear outcome in sight. Normal Disclaimer: WWII Historian, operating on the basis of open-source information, and trying to make sense of what’s going on in this war.
Here are the things that I thought significant over the past week or so:
The Donbas is teh sukz right now. Severodonetsk and Lysychanks gone, all of Luhansk in Russian hands (and probably being set up for direct Russian annexation): ugh. This has understandably gotten some folks kinda depressed. In the words of Stefan Korshak, a Ukrainian defense correspondent I follow closely, “Defense in depth is a great thing, but, at some point you have to stop the enemy. The UAF has done this in most sectors, but the loss of Lysychansk makes clear they haven’t managed it in Donbass.”
Or have they? Just yesterday, according to ISW, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced “that Russian forces are conducting an operational pause to rest and reconstitute.” Now, typically you don’t do that if you think you currently have momentum on your side, and have the reserves necessary to continue the offensive. So, for the time being at any rate, the Russians are in effect admitting that they’ve shot their bolt.
That said, ISW also reported on the 5th that Russia’s Security Council Secretary, Nikolai Patrushev, stated that “the Russian military operation in Ukraine will continue until Russia achieves its goals of protecting civilians from ‘genocide,’ ‘denazifying’ and demilitarizing Ukraine, and obliging Ukraine to be permanently neutral between Russia and NATO—almost exactly restating the goals Russian President Vladimir Putin announced in his February 24 speech justifying the war.” In other words, the Russians still have major territorial goals in mind beyond just securing the Donbas. That, to me, indicates that Putin thinks he’s now winning. And superficially, given what’s happened in the Donbas over the past month, I kinda get it. Putin doesn’t care about the casualties he took in gaining the last shreds of Luhansk, cuz a lot of them were Chechens, and drafted separatist locals, and whatnot. So, from Vlad’s point of view, so long as he’s able to keep grinding ahead, why not keep doing that?
In reality, though, I think this may be another example of poor decision-making on Putin’s part. There are lots of examples in military history where an offensive reaches its culmination point, but the leader at the top decides, “Nahh, everything’s going great! Let’s keep pushing!” … and then ends up getting his army annihilated as a result of over-extension. For instance, the Red Army’s brilliant 1942 winter counteroffensive, which broke the siege of Stalingrad, came to ruin when it stuck its neck out too far logistically, and Manstein crushed it with his famous “Backhand Blow” in early 1943. Where did that happen? Ironically, right around Kharkiv. Culmination points are famously hard to judge even for the best of generals, and thus far Vlad hasn't exactly impressed with his military acumen. All this to say that Putin may regret this decision later. And I certainly hope he does, cuz it couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.
Meanwhile, the looked-for shift in firepower on the ground, I think, is slowly, agonizingly starting to happen. We’re starting to see German and French-manufactured self-propelled arty in action, and apparently to good effect. And then there’s the American HIMARs systems, which have very long-ranged missiles. Even with a small number of them in country (a total of nine, with more coming), the Ukrainians are using them to snipe at Russian ammo depots and HQs. Most of the time, they’re being moved around constantly, and staying outside of Russian arty range. But every so often, they hustle up to the front and use satellite targeting data (which also guides their missiles) to plaster their target, before scooting back out of range. A number of RF ammo dumps have been blown up in recent days well behind the lines (you can find an interesting thread on that here: .)
Why do ammo dumps matter? In a word: trucks. While Russian logistics is based on railroad hubs, the last step of getting ammo forward to the guns necessarily relies on trucks. And if the “HIMARs effect” suddenly has the Russians worried about their ammo dumps (which it should), it means they will have to move those dumps further back behind the front. Every kilometer they push them back increases the round-trip their trucks have to take by **double** that distance, which not only reduces their total logistical throughput, but also leaves those trucks that much more exposed to being picked off behind the lines by partisans (which is happening). The net result is less ammo making it to Russian guns, and less firing. There are already circumstantial reports that the volume of Russian fire has fallen in numerous areas. That’s good. So, send more HIMARs, puh-leaze!
Meanwhile, in the south, two significant happenings. First, the UAF drove the Russians off of Snake Island. Turns out that an exposed rock sitting in the middle of the ocean, with precious little topsoil for digging, is actually a really sucky place to try and hunker down under an extended artillery / cruise missile barrage. Like, who knew? Eventually, RF just gave up and split. UAF wisely planted their flag back on the place, but then decided not to physically reoccupy it just yet, because the Russians certainly would fire at it with cruise missiles of their own. However, this does remove one piece of the naval blockade of Ukraine. Next, I think the Ukrainians need to start going after Russian naval bases in Sevastopol and elsewhere.
Likewise, the Ukrainian counteroffensive against Kherson continues making incremental gains. The southern front, I think, represents a long-term area of real potential for Ukraine. The Russians have basically moved all their mojo up into the Donbas, and their forces are spread pretty thin down south. They’re well dug-in, but weak. But the Ukrainians are being very methodical about how they are re-taking territory—using drones to scout ahead of their ground forces, and artillery to flatten RF troop concentrations before they send their own troops in—in other words, mini versions of what the RF forces are doing in the Donbas, and likely driven by the same need—conserving manpower.
Bottom line: I honestly don’t think that we’re going to see a lot of “exciting” changes from Ukraine while the summer lasts. Which is why my updates on the war have fallen to weekly (or less). To me, it feels like the correlation of forces and firepower needs to change substantially before anything dramatic is gonna happen on the ground. I still think the long game favors Ukraine. But we’re still somewhere in the middle.
The final thing I'll say, though, regards the largest geopolitical shift resulting from this war so far: Finland and Sweden being cleared to join NATO. See Perun's video here: . Simply put, this is a massive, massive diplomatic defeat for Putin, and makes an utter mockery of his stated goal of pushing NATO back from Russia's borders. Instead, it creates 800 miles of newly-militarized border that Russia is ill-equipped to guard, dramatically alters the balance of forces in the Baltic, and makes it much more difficult for Russia to contemplate a lighting operation to try and gobble up one or more of the Baltic states. Well-played, Vlad: you strategic mastermind, you.
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Post by mrcoke on Jul 14, 2022 22:07:00 GMT
My sentiments as well. I'm afraid just as our politicians are "broken" in this country, so is our news media. There isn't a newspaper any more that displays balance and is not "economical with the truth" giving slanted reports, and some just print outright lies. 'any more' When did newspapers not print outright lies? I remember when the Manchester Guardian was a well respected paper and The Times while stuffy could be relied on not to print lies and check its facts. I took the The Independent when it was launched and its main ethos was that it didn't take any particular political side. Unlike the present Independent which is now rabid left wing.
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Post by bayernoatcake on Jul 14, 2022 22:52:54 GMT
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Post by FranktheRabbit on Jul 15, 2022 12:54:54 GMT
Literally makes me want to be sick reading things like this. Fucking despicable human beings.
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Post by questionable on Jul 15, 2022 14:45:22 GMT
Literally makes me want to be sick reading things like this. Fucking despicable human beings. They’ve always been the same and need wiping off the face of the earth, yet the EU are paying them billions per day to finance the atrocities. Someone somewhere should publish a list of Russian owned/sympathisers so joe public can boycott them.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 17, 2022 14:09:39 GMT
Literally makes me want to be sick reading things like this. Fucking despicable human beings. They’ve always been the same and need wiping off the face of the earth, yet the EU are paying them billions per day to finance the atrocities. Someone somewhere should publish a list of Russian owned/sympathisers so joe public can boycott them. European fuel imports from Russia are down below 250m euros a day. Expected to drop more by the end of the year. This plan seems sensible. Cap prices paid for Russian oil. They can only spend the profits on murdering civilians so make the profits go down.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 17, 2022 14:11:20 GMT
Anniversary of Russia shooting down Flight MH17 and murdering hundreds of innocents.
Russian soldiers posed for photos with the wreckage.
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 17, 2022 15:12:00 GMT
Russia has said it's restarting attacks after an "operational pause". The last attack started in April and eventually captured Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk, both about the size of Reading.
The new Ukrainian defence lines are shorter and the Russian artillery seems to be shooting a lot less after ammunition dumps kept exploding.
Let's check back in October/November but it looks like something big would have to happen for Russia to capture its new targets of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk by then.
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Post by The Drunken Communist on Jul 19, 2022 17:54:39 GMT
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 19, 2022 18:38:38 GMT
Second plane down in two days. Confirmed that Russia shot down one of its own yesterday, prob a $36 million Su-34.
Today's is claimed to be an $85 million Russian Su-35.
It always takes a few days to confirm the facts and sometimes they even report the wrong side. Fingers crossed though!
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 20, 2022 15:44:47 GMT
Russian minister Lavrov now says Russia aims to annex not just Ukraine's east.
Yet more proof that all the stuff about it being because of NATO etc was all lies. If you ever believed someone who told you it was NATO's fault then know that person is either a liar or clueless so it's probably best not to listen to them in future.
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Post by foster on Jul 20, 2022 16:21:17 GMT
Doesn't help with people fixated on rising energy and fuel costs does it. It should be made transparent and repeated that we're all in this together and if you want to end dependence on Russia then you have to expect and take on some hardship. Of course, how much of that hardship is exaggerated is unknown. There also needs to be a renewed push against Russia as the media seem to be focusing on less important topics now.
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Post by bayernoatcake on Jul 20, 2022 19:23:04 GMT
Russian minister Lavrov now says Russia aims to annex not just Ukraine's east. Yet more proof that all the stuff about it being because of NATO etc was all lies. If you ever believed someone who told you it was NATO's fault then know that person is either a liar or clueless so it's probably best not to listen to them in future. It’s hilarious. Like didn’t try to take Kyiv to start with 😂
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 21, 2022 1:20:34 GMT
Russian minister Lavrov now says Russia aims to annex not just Ukraine's east. Yet more proof that all the stuff about it being because of NATO etc was all lies. If you ever believed someone who told you it was NATO's fault then know that person is either a liar or clueless so it's probably best not to listen to them in future. It’s hilarious. Like didn’t try to take Kyiv to start with 😂 I follow some Trump guys on twitter to get an English-language pro-Putin pov. They're telling everyone that etting fucked by the Ukrainians and losing 2,000 vehicles to have a pop at Kyiv was all a feint :'D They also said a few days back that Russia destroyed/blocked all the HIMARS so no more ammo dumps would get hit. Here's today:
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Post by bayernoatcake on Jul 21, 2022 8:13:46 GMT
It’s hilarious. Like didn’t try to take Kyiv to start with 😂 I follow some Trump guys on twitter to get an English-language pro-Putin pov. They're telling everyone that etting fucked by the Ukrainians and losing 2,000 vehicles to have a pop at Kyiv was all a feint :'D They also said a few days back that Russia destroyed/blocked all the HIMARS so no more ammo dumps would get hit. Here's today: It's just strange. They've used it in the last 3 days to destroy a really powerful Russian radar in Kherson too and a bridge that they will use to retreat from Kherson. They're using it so well.
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Post by terryconroysmagic on Jul 21, 2022 10:12:25 GMT
But yet the Russians torturously grind on.
They don’t appear to have any concern for human life and if this turns into an attritional slog unfortunately the Russians will continue to make progress.
I fear the Wests interest and stomach for the fight will wane and the Russians persistence will win out
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Post by mtrstudent on Jul 21, 2022 13:58:56 GMT
But yet the Russians torturously grind on. They don’t appear to have any concern for human life and if this turns into an attritional slog unfortunately the Russians will continue to make progress. I fear the Wests interest and stomach for the fight will wane and the Russians persistence will win out That's what I'm worried about mate. The US could easily afford another $100 billion which should be enough. But after November the republicans might feel that they can get away with stopping the support. I can't tell yet what will win: they love money for defence companies and flexing about US weapons so maybe they'll help. But they also love authoritarian strong men violently suppressing "weaker" groups, punishing LGBT people, and white Christians dominance so they might also block support.
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