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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 28, 2020 15:52:15 GMT
On the same day 14 days ago, Italy had 175 deaths in 24 hours from 13th to 14th of March.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 19:11:23 GMT
Hi Dr H. Whats it like in Cairo. One of my cousins there is a virologist at the University, they were instrumental in finding a vaccine for MERS many years ago. I wish scientists here can participate in that, but frankly speaking I am not expecting that, I am expecting the vaccine to come from USA or China. The army started a factory for M3 Face Masks and they promise producing 100.000 masks per day, the gov. sent already +1 million face mask to Italy, people and doctors are angry because there is a shortage everywhere but I think this was a good move from the government as they may need it at this stage in Italy more than us.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 18:57:08 GMT
True, but elderly people need to read such positive news about possibility of recovery for +100 years old patients. How are things in Egypt? The tourist trade will be virtually zero, but that’s true of everywhere. Are you in Cairo? That could be quite scary. Yes, I am in Cairo, everything closes at 7 pm, and no one is allowed to go out for any reason after that. Till now it is under control in Egypt (495 cases - 24 deaths - 102 total recovery) , if the outbreak started to expand here it will explode but thanks god it is still under control, we dont know the reason, some experts suggests hot weather and humidity are the reason although WHO rejects this theory. Thousands of Egyptians came back from different destinations especially Italy, I have been to Lombardy once and nearly everybody I met there was Egyptian, however it is still under control despite return of thousands from there, I wish this quietness continues.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 18:29:43 GMT
101-year-old Italian man released from hospital after recovering from coronavirus Italy's death toll rises by more than 900 - believed to be the sharpest hike in fatalities of any country True, but elderly people need to read such positive news about possibility of recovery for +100 years old patients.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 18:20:57 GMT
101-year-old Italian man released from hospital after recovering from coronavirus
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 18:17:25 GMT
New NHS hospitals are being built in Birmingham's National Exhibition Centre and Manchester's Central Convention Centre.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 17:46:38 GMT
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 27, 2020 1:33:56 GMT
I dont care a lot about number of new cases in each country because it depends mainly on testing, but +268 deaths in 24 hours for USA makes them a potential new Italy.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 25, 2020 20:21:23 GMT
I read news about death of a girl 21 years old in UK without underlying disease in multiple sources including BBC, Reuters, Daily mail ... etc., and all of them are considering her family as source of the news, any official news about that? www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-52041709
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 24, 2020 15:14:59 GMT
Has it been or will mass testing be done in the UK? USA and Sweden are talking about mass testing of people now, like in S Korea and near Venice, Italy. HOW is it supposed to work? Go to your doctor and get it done, waiting in the waiting room with 25 others in a couple of hours - to make sure you get the disease?? - or Have a visit by some nurse in an outer space outfit doing it in your home? I read that in USA they organize drive thru testing in multiple locations and states, I dont know if this is applied in UK or not.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 22, 2020 17:59:29 GMT
According to a scientist on the radio yesterday, the most worrying thing about this Covid 19 virus is that it has a big tool box. It can transform and mutate and do whatever it wants if an obsticle occur. That makes it difficult with a vaccine. And that's also why the isolated herd immunity theory could be fatal. It might require one herd immunity period in the society after another. It 'could' potentially mutute, but so could any other virus. Not sure why you make it sound like it can do as it pleases. I'll put that down to poor English. This was my comment: "Another worrying thing is that, in Hong Kong they discovered a 2nd case of Corona in pet dog in human to animal transmission." I admit my English is not so good, but what is the poor English in that, you can check the full story on New York PostFrom the article: "“It is very likely that the two positive cases [in Hong Kong] are examples of human-to-dog transmission,” Professor Malik Peiris, a public health virologist at the University of Hong Kong told the outlet. "
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 23:00:38 GMT
Yep, i smell a massive rat where these shady fuckers are concerned. Me too but they are sending aid here there and everywhere which feels a strange thing to do if they’re struggling. I can’t work out how they’re dealing with the risk of a second spike, they’re apparently opening things back up which could take them back to square one. They are over celebrating which makes me worry about how true what they say, it looks like they want to send a fake message, I am not sure. I have been there once, and i believe the gov. there can change any facts and no one can talk. Another worrying thing is that, in Hong Kong they discovered a 2nd case of Corona in pet dog in human to animal transmission.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 22:55:20 GMT
Are the airports still open in UK? Yes mate they are. for now All airports are closed in Egypt nearly 1 week ago. Although people tend to go out 24/24 here, everything close now at 6 PM. I am expecting the military to control after 1-2 days and prevent everyone from going out of their home. We had only 10 deaths till now, if the virus spread in Egypt it will kill much more than Italy and entire Europe so they are taking early steps to prevent this from happening, the only thing that we rely on is strong herd immunity of the people here, but who knows ! i wish if we dont test it.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 22:37:19 GMT
Are the airports still open in UK?
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 22:25:42 GMT
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 21:32:55 GMT
Being a divided country where each state is taking its decision is a valid concern, but US has the best healthcare system in the world, however, when outbreaks go wild no healthcare system can contain it. The US Healthcare system works for those with Healthcare Insurance, it barely exists for the millions that don't. If you think a Healthcare system that has purposefully made millions of people addicted to opioids is the worlds best then good luck to you! I agree that there isn't a healthcare system in the world who is prepared for this. I am not judging it by how much people pay for the service and insurance system, I am talking about the quality of hospitals, equipment, staff, training programs, continuous medical education ... etc.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 21:25:22 GMT
Being a divided country where each state is taking its decision is a valid concern, but US has the best healthcare system in the world, however, when outbreaks go wild no healthcare system can contain it. It's got the best healthcare system in the world if you are earning 40k USD upwards. Ok got you, I am not sure what their insurance covers but I know NHS covers all essential treatment and procedures with exclusion of cosmetics and so on.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 21:12:25 GMT
I honestly feel worried for the US population mate, a seriously divided nation, different states doing different things, a healthcare system that doesn't work and a fraud of a president. Then mix panic buying with gun ownership ! I really wouldn't want to live there. You can slag the Tory's off on the NHS if you want and you may have a point but they are 1 healthcare system and from what I can see right now they have dedicated staff who are working together and preparing to go to war on a large scale, it won't matter if you are unemployed or on a hundred grand year the same criteria will apply to both. It will never be for sale because it is priceless! Good post. We have a lot to be thankful for in this country with our NHS. A socialist entity that has the people at it's heartbeat. Let us pray to whichever god you believe in that they can keep the lid on this... Being a divided country where each state is taking its decision is a valid concern, but US has the best healthcare system in the world, however, when outbreaks go wild no healthcare system can contain it.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 21, 2020 19:18:40 GMT
Another 800 dead in Italy?! That’s just mad. How close is the UK following Italy in terms of number of deaths? I saw this photo 2 days ago, and the similarity continues till today with 233 deaths in Italy 2 weeks ago and 233 deaths in UK today, I wish this will stop soon:
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 19, 2020 21:42:58 GMT
174 died from total of 11.699 infected in USA 144 died from total of only 3.269 infected in UK I dont know the reason for that, but I think infected people in UK are much more than 3.269 and this small number is due to poor testing.
7 died from total of 256 infected in Egypt, I think numbers are higher than that but when elderly people die in Egypt in ICU for Pneumonia, they dont search a lot about the cause.
44 died from total of 15.320 infected in Germany, this is perfect percentage.
We are not able to judge the efficacy of medical practice in each country because of the vague number of undetected cases.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 19, 2020 17:26:42 GMT
The situation is out of control in Italy +2.500 doctors and nurses got infected too.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 19, 2020 15:23:07 GMT
Interest rates reduced to 0.1% 0, the lowest it can go. Sterling pounds used to be between 20 to 21 Egyptian pounds, today it is 18.4
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 19, 2020 14:56:23 GMT
Strange behavior from the UK embassy in Kuwait
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 18, 2020 19:57:02 GMT
Now isn't the time for so much vitriol amongst each other. Like it or not we have to trust our leaders/experts (which I know is hard, I'm by no means a fan of Boris myself), we've got to pull together for each other, our childeren, and grandchildren etc. We all joined this board with a common love of Stoke, well like it or not we are all part of a much bigger congregation and have no choice but do do what it takes so we come out of this together, hopefully unscathed. Let's try and cover each others backs and not stick the knife in. We just may all feel a bit better. I dont know a lot about the politics in UK, but I also noticed that some comments here are influenced by political ideology either with or against Boris, same as what happens in Egypt. The virus is a danger for the human kind, and it is a chance for people to unite.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 18, 2020 18:55:46 GMT
People must be obligated to stay home everywhere and in all countries.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 16, 2020 12:04:57 GMT
And if you have responsible parents with children that have any symptoms they'll be at home self isolating and not in class. I love your 'if'!!!..... You've obviously not worked in the schools that I have where if they are showing symptoms they're probably more likely to send them out of the house to school..that is even if they are aware their kids have got them in the first place. Ain't gonna happen. Not to mention that fact they could be carrying it for 4/5 days without showing the symptoms. Trying to keep schools running 'as normal' is insane. Humans are too selfish, this was obvious recently when people started to share videos and images worldwide for empty markets. These selfish people will never apply complete self isolation with no personal gain just to protect the community except if it is obligatory.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 16, 2020 11:58:09 GMT
The Aussies seem to think we can use drugs already in circulation to stamp out coronavirus. "Drugs used to treat HIV and malaria could be used to tackle the coronavirus, according to scientists in Australia. A team of infectious disease experts at the University of Queensland in Brisbane say they have seen two existing medications manage to wipe out COVID-19 infections. Chloroquine, an anti-malarial drug, and HIV-suppressing combination lopinavir/ritonavir have both reportedly shown promising results in human tests and made the virus 'disappear' in infected patients. ----- Professor Paterson said it wouldn't be wrong to consider the drugs a possible 'treatment or cure' for the deadly respiratory infection. He explained that when the HIV medication lopinavir/ritonavir was given to people infected with the coronavirus in Australia it led to the 'disappearance of the virus'. He told Australian news site news.com.au: 'It's a potentially effective treatment. 'Patients would end up with no viable coronavirus in their system at all after the end of the therapy.'" Chinese are already trying the anti-malarial Chloroquine for 1-2 months now, along with anti-RNA viruses and anti-Ebola virus. They said it achieved good results, but no thing confirmed 100% yet.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 16, 2020 11:39:19 GMT
Aggressive testing is the key to collect data to be analyzed to be able to take a wise decision. No testing = no data = a decision that may succeed or fail. If the policy is to stop the disease in it's tracks then testing and mass isolation is the way to go. The UK government have given up on stopping the disease so testing is pointless - they are looking to manage it's spread so that the NHS can cope and deaths are minimised - testing just deflects attention from targeting resources at dealing with those worst affected. Whether this is the right approach is a different matter but not testing is perfectly logical given the approach being taken. The countries that have gone for testing and mass isolation have succeeded in reducing the number of cases for the moment but no-one knows what will happen when testing and mass isolation stops - without an effective vaccine there could easily be a fresh outbreak. The UK is going for mass immunisation in the traditional way - allow people to get it and get a residual population with a natural immunity. Unlike mass isolation on a global scale it's an approach that will work (it's why as a species we are still here) but at what cost? We'll see. We dont know when they can provide the vaccine, they may provide it before the 2nd peak and in this case countries that applied aggressive restrictions earlier and minimized the incidence and mortality rate as much as possible are the real winners because they succeeded to protect a lot of people from preventable death.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 16, 2020 11:34:00 GMT
I think that there is some merit in not testing, the tests are only valid at the time of the test, and with the speed of the spread it's almost a waste of resources. It is UK not Malawi, this is underestimating for the UK as a country. Although the approach in Egypt is not good too and the resources are very low in comparison with UK, but the gov. has just bought thousands of testing kits from China.
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Post by Dr Hesham on Mar 16, 2020 10:55:52 GMT
Aggressive testing is the key to collect data to be analyzed to be able to take a wise decision. No testing = no data = a decision that may succeed or fail. I'm not sure how aggressive testing helps other than as a data tool. And in that sense it can give a very false picture. Apart from identifying people who have it (who would probably realise it anyway and deal with it appropriately) I could be tested today, prove negative and then catch it tomorrow and go undetected. I think the furore about testing is a massive red herring distracting us from taking the Government to task on their plans to protect the elderly and vulnerable, what plans they have to test them and their treatment if and when they catch it. What is the point of testing me at this moment in time? It simple distracts somebody and wastes funds that could be directed elsewhere. Certainly in Korea they are not testing healthy patients, they are testing patients who may have the disease by tracing contacts, travel history, symptoms and signs ...etc. The gov. may take specific decisions when it has 500 patients and completely different decisions when it has 30.000 patients, without testing how they will decide to move to the next stage, they may suddenly find themselves in huge crisis due to delayed decisions. Yes, testing is part from the task, but absolutely priority is to save elderly and vulnerable, and to work on increasing hospital capacities in advance while flattening the curve as much as possible by decreasing the rate of transmission by all possible ways, so testing is not the key but it is part from the strategy.
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